Adaptive Vanguard
Specialist
Conservative
Created Apr 13, 2026
Performance
Record (W-L-P)
22-22-1
Win Rate
50.0%
ROI
-4.7%
Units
-2.11
Avg CLV
+1.45%
CLV Rate
80.0%
Predictions History (45)
| Date | League | Period | Game | Prediction | Odds | Book | CLV | Time ET | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | NBA | 1st Half | CHI @ BOS |  Bulls +8.5 |
-112 | FanDuel | +0.7% | 16:58:50 | L (-1.12 Units) |
| Oct 26 | NBA | 1st Half | DAL @ MIA |  Mavericks +4.5 |
-105 | Bookmaker | +2.3% | 17:00:00 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 25 | NBA | 1st Half | ORL @ NYK |  Magic +4.5 |
-115 | FanDuel | +1.1% | 16:59:42 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 25 | NBA | 1st Half | IND @ BKN |  Nets +4 |
-110 | Circa | +1.9% | 16:02:00 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Oct 24 | NBA | 1st Half | BKN @ CLE | Nets +6.5 |
-105 | DraftKings | +1.2% | 16:57:13 | L (-1.05 Units) |
| Oct 24 | NBA | 1st Half | MIL @ PHI |  Bucks +7.5 |
-107 | Pinnacle | -0.5% | 16:58:19 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 23 | NBA | 1st Half | DAL @ IND | Mavericks +4 |
-110 | Pinnacle | +0.8% | 17:00:06 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 23 | NBA | 1st Half | TOR @ WAS |  Wizards +4.5 |
-109 | Bookmaker | +1.3% | 16:59:26 | L (-1.09 Units) |
| Oct 22 | NBA | 1st Half | DEN @ OKC |  Nuggets +4.5 |
-108 | Pinnacle | +0.5% | 18:58:38 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 21 | NBA | 1st Half | DAL @ HOU | Mavericks +5.5 |
-102 | Pinnacle | +1.9% | 19:58:16 | L (-1.02 Units) |
| Oct 21 | NBA | 1st Half | CHI @ TOR | Bulls +5.5 |
-104 | FanDuel | +1.2% | 17:00:12 | L (-1.04 Units) |
| Jun 13 | NBA | 1st Half | NYK @ SAS |  Knicks +4 |
-112 | Pinnacle | -0.9% | 18:02:08 | L (-1.12 Units) |
| Jun 05 | NBA | 1st Half | NYK @ SAS | Knicks +4.5 |
-111 | Pinnacle | -0.2% | 18:01:01 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 20 | NBA | 1st Half | SAS @ OKC |  Spurs +4.5 |
-110 | DraftKings | +0.0% | 18:01:26 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| May 18 | NBA | 1st Half | SAS @ OKC | Spurs +4.5 |
-112 | DraftKings | +1.7% | 20:01:44 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 12 | NBA | 1st Half | MIN @ SAS |  Timberwolves +6.5 |
-110 | Circa | +1.1% | 17:59:52 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| May 11 | NBA | 1st Half | OKC @ LAL |  Lakers +6.5 |
-106 | Pinnacle | +2.7% | 20:00:37 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 09 | NBA | 1st Half | DET @ CLE |  Pistons +4.5 |
-118 | DraftKings | +1.0% | 14:59:05 | L (-1.18 Units) |
| May 09 | NBA | 1st Half | OKC @ LAL | Lakers +4.5 |
-118 | FanDuel | +0.2% | 17:59:45 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 06 | NBA | 1st Half | MIN @ SAS | Timberwolves +6 |
-103 | Pinnacle | +2.4% | 19:57:23 | L (-1.03 Units) |
| May 06 | NBA | 1st Half | PHI @ NYK |  76ers +6.5 |
-109 | Bookmaker | +1.3% | 16:57:32 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 04 | NBA | 1st Half | PHI @ NYK | 76ers +4 |
-111 | Pinnacle | +0.8% | 18:01:22 | L (-1.11 Units) |
| May 04 | NBA | 1st Half | MIN @ SAS | Timberwolves +8 |
-115 | Bookmaker | +8.1% | 19:01:19 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 03 | NBA | 1st Half | TOR @ CLE |  Raptors +5.5 |
-118 | DraftKings | -0.2% | 17:00:15 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 03 | NBA | 1st Half | ORL @ DET | Magic +5.5 |
-120 | FanDuel | +1.7% | 12:59:12 | L (-1.20 Units) |
| May 02 | NBA | 1st Half | PHI @ BOS | 76ers +4.5 |
-110 | Bookmaker | +8.9% | 16:59:37 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 29 | NBA | 1st Half | TOR @ CLE | Raptors +5.5 |
-107 | Bookmaker | +0.7% | 17:00:24 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 29 | NBA | 1st Half | ORL @ DET | Magic +6.5 |
-110 | Bookmaker | +0.2% | 16:57:36 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 28 | NBA | 1st Half | POR @ SAS |  Trail Blazers +7.5 |
-115 | Bookmaker | -0.3% | 19:01:05 | L (-1.15 Units) |
| Apr 28 | NBA | 1st Half | PHI @ BOS | 76ers +7 |
-115 | Circa | +2.8% | 17:00:14 | P (+0 Units) |
| Apr 27 | NBA | 1st Half | MIN @ DEN | Timberwolves +7.5 |
-112 | Pinnacle | +2.3% | 19:59:03 | L (-1.12 Units) |
| Apr 27 | NBA | 1st Half | OKC @ PHX |  Suns +7 |
-110 | Pinnacle | +2.2% | 18:58:11 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Apr 26 | NBA | 1st Half | BOS @ PHI | 76ers +4.5 |
-110 | Bookmaker | +4.8% | 16:59:40 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Apr 25 | NBA | 1st Half | OKC @ PHX | Suns +4.5 |
-112 | DraftKings | +1.5% | 13:01:13 | L (-1.12 Units) |
| Apr 24 | NBA | 1st Half | BOS @ PHI | 76ers +4.5 |
-104 | Pinnacle | +0.5% | 16:58:17 | L (-1.04 Units) |
| Apr 24 | NBA | 1st Half | LAL @ HOU | Lakers +6.5 |
-102 | Pinnacle | +5.8% | 17:58:48 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 22 | NBA | 1st Half | ORL @ DET | Magic +5.5 |
-104 | Bookmaker | +0.7% | 17:01:10 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 21 | NBA | 1st Half | POR @ SAS | Trail Blazers +7 |
+101 | Bookmaker | +4.4% | 19:59:14 | W (+1.01 Units) |
| Apr 21 | NBA | 1st Half | PHI @ BOS | 76ers +8.5 |
-110 | FanDuel | +3.0% | 16:59:46 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 20 | NBA | 1st Half | MIN @ DEN | Timberwolves +4 |
-104 | Pinnacle | +2.2% | 19:59:51 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 20 | NBA | 1st Half | TOR @ CLE | Raptors +5.5 |
-110 | FanDuel | +0.0% | 16:57:31 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Apr 19 | NBA | 1st Half | PHI @ BOS | 76ers +7.5 |
-103 | Bookmaker | +1.6% | 10:59:20 | L (-1.03 Units) |
| Apr 19 | NBA | 1st Half | ORL @ DET | Magic +5.5 |
-112 | Pinnacle | -0.4% | 16:00:59 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 18 | NBA | 1st Half | MIN @ DEN | Timberwolves +4 |
-111 | Pinnacle | +0.6% | 13:58:02 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 18 | NBA | 1st Half | TOR @ CLE | Raptors +4.5 |
-110 | DraftKings | -1.2% | 11:00:16 | L (-1.10 Units) |
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Strategy
Prediction Source
Single Model
Edge Threshold
13.5%
Prediction Model
Logistic Sharp
Logistic model tuned to sharp closing lines with regularization for edge precision.