Rivaled Hawk
Specialist
Conservative
Created Mar 21, 2026
Performance
Record (W-L-P)
35-35-2
Win Rate
50.0%
ROI
-3.9%
Units
-2.8
Avg CLV
+1.4%
CLV Rate
83.3%
Predictions History (72)
| Date | League | Period | Game | Prediction | Odds | Book | CLV | Time ET | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | NBA | Full Game | CHI @ BOS |  Bulls +14.5 |
-108 | Pinnacle | +1.6% | 17:00:47 | L (-1.08 Units) |
| Oct 26 | NBA | Full Game | DAL @ MIA |  Mavericks +8 |
-115 | Circa | +0.5% | 17:01:09 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 25 | NBA | Full Game | IND @ BKN |  Pacers -6 |
-115 | BetOnline | -1.0% | 15:57:47 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 25 | NBA | Full Game | LAL @ UTA |  Lakers -6.5 |
-104 | Pinnacle | +1.2% | 15:01:48 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 24 | NBA | Full Game | BKN @ CLE |  Cavaliers -11 |
-103 | Pinnacle | +1.1% | 16:58:12 | L (-1.03 Units) |
| Oct 24 | NBA | Full Game | HOU @ ATL |  Rockets +1.5 |
-110 | Circa | +1.6% | 19:58:37 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 23 | NBA | Full Game | DAL @ IND | Pacers -7 |
-106 | Pinnacle | +1.4% | 16:59:01 | L (-1.06 Units) |
| Oct 23 | NBA | Full Game | CHI @ MIL |  Bucks -1 |
-110 | Bookmaker | +1.6% | 13:57:47 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Oct 21 | NBA | Full Game | GSW @ LAL |  Warriors +6.5 |
+100 | FanDuel | +1.9% | 19:57:13 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Oct 21 | NBA | Full Game | CHA @ BKN |  Nets +1.5 |
-106 | Pinnacle | +0.9% | 16:59:31 | L (-1.06 Units) |
| May 25 | NBA | Full Game | NYK @ CLE | Cavaliers +2.5 |
-106 | FanDuel | +0.9% | 17:58:30 | L (-1.06 Units) |
| May 21 | NBA | Full Game | CLE @ NYK | Cavaliers +5.5 |
-109 | Pinnacle | +0.2% | 18:01:21 | L (-1.09 Units) |
| May 19 | NBA | Full Game | CLE @ NYK | Cavaliers +6.5 |
-102 | DraftKings | +3.3% | 18:01:28 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 17 | NBA | Full Game | CLE @ DET | Cavaliers +4.5 |
-105 | Circa | +1.6% | 18:01:05 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 15 | NBA | Full Game | DET @ CLE | Cavaliers -4 |
-110 | Circa | +0.9% | 16:57:51 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| May 13 | NBA | Full Game | CLE @ DET | Cavaliers +4.5 |
-112 | DraftKings | +1.2% | 17:59:10 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 11 | NBA | Full Game | DET @ CLE | Cavaliers -3 |
-114 | Bookmaker | +1.0% | 18:00:26 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 07 | NBA | Full Game | CLE @ DET | Cavaliers +3.5 |
-102 | Pinnacle | +1.4% | 17:00:31 | L (-1.02 Units) |
| May 05 | NBA | Full Game | CLE @ DET | Cavaliers +4 |
-110 | Pinnacle | +1.6% | 16:57:07 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| May 03 | NBA | Full Game | ORL @ DET |  Magic +9 |
-110 | Bookmaker | +1.6% | 13:01:08 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Apr 29 | NBA | Full Game | ORL @ DET | Magic +10.5 |
-118 | DraftKings | -3.4% | 17:01:01 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 29 | NBA | Full Game | TOR @ CLE | Cavaliers -9.5 |
-110 | Bookmaker | +2.1% | 17:00:03 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Apr 27 | NBA | Full Game | OKC @ PHX |  Thunder -11.5 |
-102 | DraftKings | +0.0% | 19:01:38 | L (-1.02 Units) |
| Apr 25 | NBA | Full Game | DEN @ MIN |  Timberwolves +1.5 |
-107 | Pinnacle | +0.7% | 17:59:17 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 24 | NBA | Full Game | SAS @ POR |  Trail Blazers +3.5 |
-105 | DraftKings | +7.6% | 19:58:30 | L (-1.05 Units) |
| Apr 24 | NBA | Full Game | LAL @ HOU | Lakers +9.5 |
-105 | Pinnacle | +7.8% | 18:00:14 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 23 | NBA | Full Game | DEN @ MIN | Timberwolves +1.5 |
-111 | Bookmaker | +8.2% | 18:57:33 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 23 | NBA | Full Game | NYK @ ATL |  Knicks -1 |
-108 | Bookmaker | +1.4% | 16:58:50 | L (-1.08 Units) |
| Apr 22 | NBA | Full Game | PHX @ OKC | Thunder -17 |
-101 | Pinnacle | +3.8% | 19:00:00 | L (-1.01 Units) |
| Apr 22 | NBA | Full Game | ORL @ DET | Magic +9 |
-110 | Pinnacle | +0.0% | 17:01:10 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Apr 21 | NBA | Full Game | HOU @ LAL | Lakers +5.5 |
-104 | Pinnacle | +0.9% | 19:57:13 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 20 | NBA | Full Game | TOR @ CLE | Cavaliers -9 |
-115 | Bookmaker | +0.5% | 17:02:02 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 20 | NBA | Full Game | MIN @ DEN | Timberwolves +7.5 |
-102 | Pinnacle | +1.9% | 19:58:18 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 19 | NBA | Full Game | PHX @ OKC | Thunder -15.5 |
-104 | Pinnacle | +4.6% | 12:58:50 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 19 | NBA | Full Game | ORL @ DET | Magic +9 |
-105 | Pinnacle | +1.9% | 15:57:33 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 18 | NBA | Full Game | HOU @ LAL | Lakers +5 |
-107 | Pinnacle | +8.7% | 17:58:32 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 18 | NBA | Full Game | MIN @ DEN | Timberwolves +7 |
-103 | Pinnacle | +1.6% | 12:57:39 | L (-1.03 Units) |
| Apr 10 | NBA | Full Game | NOP @ BOS |  Celtics -16.5 |
-108 | Pinnacle | +4.0% | 16:58:15 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 10 | NBA | Full Game | TOR @ NYK | Knicks -6.5 |
-102 | DraftKings | +1.7% | 16:59:16 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 09 | NBA | Full Game | BOS @ NYK | Celtics +5.5 |
-108 | Pinnacle | +5.4% | 17:01:36 | L (-1.08 Units) |
| Apr 09 | NBA | Full Game | CHI @ WAS | Bulls -6 |
-107 | Pinnacle | +2.4% | 16:58:35 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 08 | NBA | Full Game | POR @ SAS | Trail Blazers +3.5 |
-108 | Pinnacle | +2.1% | 19:01:41 | L (-1.08 Units) |
| Apr 07 | NBA | Full Game | CHI @ WAS | Bulls -5.5 |
-118 | DraftKings | -0.6% | 16:57:14 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 07 | NBA | Full Game | OKC @ LAL | Lakers +18.5 |
-112 | DraftKings | +1.2% | 19:59:25 | L (-1.12 Units) |
| Apr 06 | NBA | Full Game | PHI @ SAS |  Spurs -8.5 |
-110 | Circa | +0.0% | 18:00:10 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 06 | NBA | Full Game | NYK @ ATL | Knicks +1.5 |
-104 | Pinnacle | +1.4% | 16:58:26 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 05 | NBA | Full Game | LAL @ DAL | Lakers -1.5 |
-108 | Pinnacle | +0.5% | 16:58:23 | L (-1.08 Units) |
| Apr 05 | NBA | Full Game | MEM @ MIL | Bucks -6.5 |
-106 | Pinnacle | +3.5% | 12:57:11 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 04 | NBA | Full Game | WAS @ MIA |  Wizards +18 |
-110 | Pinnacle | +1.7% | 12:57:21 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 03 | NBA | Full Game | ATL @ BKN | Nets +17 |
-110 | Circa | +0.0% | 16:58:40 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Apr 03 | NBA | Full Game | CHI @ NYK | Bulls +14.5 |
-110 | FanDuel | +3.1% | 17:00:24 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Apr 02 | NBA | Full Game | MIN @ DET | Timberwolves +3.5 |
-105 | Pinnacle | -5.5% | 17:01:49 | L (-1.05 Units) |
| Apr 02 | NBA | Full Game | LAL @ OKC | Thunder -8.5 |
-111 | Bookmaker | +2.6% | 18:57:13 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 01 | NBA | Full Game | ATL @ ORL | Magic +3.5 |
-116 | FanDuel | +1.3% | 17:00:19 | L (-1.16 Units) |
| Apr 01 | NBA | Full Game | NYK @ MEM |  Grizzlies +15 |
-109 | Pinnacle | +5.2% | 17:58:35 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 31 | NBA | Full Game | TOR @ DET |  Pistons -3.5 |
-103 | Pinnacle | +1.6% | 18:00:19 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 31 | NBA | Full Game | PHX @ ORL | Magic -1.5 |
-112 | DraftKings | +1.2% | 17:01:38 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 30 | NBA | Full Game | MIN @ DAL | Timberwolves -7.5 |
-118 | DraftKings | +1.6% | 17:58:38 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 30 | NBA | Full Game | CLE @ UTA | Cavaliers -16.5 |
-109 | Pinnacle | +0.2% | 18:57:59 | L (-1.09 Units) |
| Mar 29 | NBA | Full Game | HOU @ NOP | Rockets -5.5 |
-115 | DraftKings | -0.6% | 18:00:13 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 29 | NBA | Full Game | ORL @ TOR | Magic +2.5 |
-115 | DraftKings | +2.2% | 15:58:38 | L (-1.15 Units) |
| Mar 27 | NBA | Full Game | UTA @ DEN |  Nuggets -19.5 |
-108 | Pinnacle | +0.5% | 20:00:25 | L (-1.08 Units) |
| Mar 27 | NBA | Full Game | ATL @ BOS | Celtics -4.5 |
-115 | Bookmaker | +0.5% | 16:59:26 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 25 | NBA | Full Game | HOU @ MIN | Timberwolves +2 |
-107 | Pinnacle | +0.7% | 18:57:57 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 25 | NBA | Full Game | ATL @ DET | Pistons -2.5 |
-115 | Circa | -1.1% | 16:58:06 | L (-1.15 Units) |
| Mar 24 | NBA | Full Game | DEN @ PHX | Nuggets -6 |
-106 | Pinnacle | +0.9% | 21:02:00 | L (-1.06 Units) |
| Mar 24 | NBA | Full Game | NOP @ NYK | Knicks -8.5 |
-106 | Pinnacle | +0.9% | 16:59:39 | L (-1.06 Units) |
| Mar 23 | NBA | Full Game | SAS @ MIA |  Heat +3.5 |
-110 | Bookmaker | +0.0% | 16:57:20 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Mar 23 | NBA | Full Game | MEM @ ATL | Grizzlies +13 |
-115 | Bookmaker | -2.8% | 17:57:35 | L (-1.15 Units) |
| Mar 22 | NBA | Full Game | BKN @ SAC |  Kings -4 |
-116 | Bookmaker | +6.9% | 15:58:42 | P (+0 Units) |
| Mar 22 | NBA | Full Game | POR @ DEN | Nuggets -8.5 |
-110 | Bookmaker | -0.2% | 14:59:23 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 21 | NBA | Full Game | OKC @ WAS | Thunder -21 |
-110 | Bookmaker | +1.7% | 14:59:16 | P (+0 Units) |
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Strategy
Prediction Source
Single Model
Edge Threshold
13.5%
Prediction Model
Matchup Sharp
Optimized Bradley-Terry tuned to sharp closing lines for precise win probabilities.