United Guild
Generalist
Conservative
Created Apr 9, 2026
Performance
Record (W-L)
9-10
Win Rate
47.4%
ROI
-0.9%
Units
-0.17
Avg CLV
-3.21%
CLV Rate
50.0%
Predictions History (19)
| Date | League | Period | Game | Prediction | Odds | Book | CLV | Time ET | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | NBA | Full Game | MIL @ WAS |  Bucks ML |
+152 | BetOnline | -1.2% | 18:00:48 | W (+1.52 Units) |
| Oct 17 | NHL | Full Game | STL @ NSH |  Blues +1.5 |
-260 | FanDuel | -36.8% | 17:57:56 | L (-2.60 Units) |
| Oct 10 | NHL | Full Game | EDM @ SJS |  Oilers -1.5 |
+164 | Pinnacle | +0.6% | 14:00:59 | W (+1.64 Units) |
| Sep 26 | NHL | Full Game | WSH @ PHI |  Capitals ML |
+250 | FanDuel | -1.7% | 14:59:54 | W (+2.50 Units) |
| Sep 24 | NHL | Full Game | ANA @ SJS |  Ducks ML |
+230 | FanDuel | -1.8% | 21:58:47 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Sep 24 | NHL | Full Game | EDM @ VAN | Oilers ML |
+225 | FanDuel | -1.4% | 18:59:01 | W (+2.25 Units) |
| Sep 22 | NHL | Full Game | VGK @ SJS |  Golden Knights ML |
+150 | Bookmaker | -1.7% | 19:58:21 | W (+1.50 Units) |
| May 14 | NHL | Full Game | VGK @ ANA | Ducks +1.5 |
-250 | Circa | — | 18:58:25 | L (-2.50 Units) |
| May 11 | NBA | Full Game | OKC @ LAL |  Lakers +12.5 |
-105 | Pinnacle | +0.9% | 19:57:07 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 09 | NBA | Full Game | OKC @ LAL | Lakers +9.5 |
-107 | Pinnacle | +0.9% | 17:59:03 | L (-1.07 Units) |
| May 08 | NHL | Full Game | VGK @ ANA | Golden Knights +1.5 |
-240 | FanDuel | — | 18:58:10 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 24 | NBA | Full Game | BOS @ PHI |  76ers ML |
+285 | Circa | -3.5% | 17:01:58 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 15 | NBA | Full Game | ORL @ PHI |  Magic +2 |
-117 | Bookmaker | +0.5% | 17:00:12 | L (-1.17 Units) |
| Apr 13 | NHL | Full Game | LAK @ SEA |  Kraken +1.5 |
-174 | Bookmaker | +0.1% | 18:58:41 | L (-1.74 Units) |
| Apr 12 | NHL | Full Game | OTT @ NJD |  Devils +1.5 |
-225 | DraftKings | — | 17:01:13 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 11 | NHL | Full Game | VAN @ SJS |  Canucks ML |
+180 | Circa | -0.2% | 19:57:32 | W (+1.80 Units) |
| Apr 10 | NBA | Full Game | OKC @ DEN |  Thunder +3.5 |
-112 | FanDuel | +2.9% | 19:59:34 | L (-1.12 Units) |
| Apr 10 | NBA | Full Game | MIA @ WAS |  Wizards +16.5 |
-110 | Circa | +1.7% | 16:57:59 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Apr 09 | NBA | Full Game | BOS @ NYK |  Celtics +5.5 |
-108 | Pinnacle | +5.4% | 16:59:23 | L (-1.08 Units) |
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Strategy
Prediction Source
Consensus
Edge Threshold
13.5%
Consensus Type
Unanimous
Prediction Models
Elo Steady
Slow-moving Elo that resists overreaction, best for large sample reads.
Glicko Steady
Conservative Glicko-2 with low volatility for long-range season projections.
Logistic Conservative
Heavily regularized logistic model that only fires on the strongest statistical signals.
Matchup Steady
Slow-updating Bradley-Terry for stable season-long pairwise rankings.
Elo Standard
Classic Elo rating system with balanced parameters for steady power rankings.