Flare Federation
Specialist
Aggressive
Created Oct 26, 2026
Performance
Record (W-L)
4-2
Win Rate
66.7%
ROI
+31.3%
Units
+1.88
Avg CLV
+2.29%
CLV Rate
83.3%
Predictions History (6)
| Date | League | Period | Game | Prediction | Odds | Book | CLV | Time ET | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | NBA | Full Game | DAL @ MIA |  Mavericks +8 |
-115 | Circa | +0.5% | 17:00:55 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 26 | NBA | Full Game | MIN @ CLE |  Cavaliers Over 231.5 |
-115 | DraftKings | +6.1% | 17:00:54 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 26 | NBA | Full Game | CHI @ BOS |  Celtics Over 232.5 |
-110 | Circa | +2.4% | 17:01:04 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 26 | NBA | Full Game | WAS @ CHA |  Hornets Over 227.5 |
-105 | DraftKings | -1.2% | 16:57:49 | L (-1.05 Units) |
| Oct 26 | NBA | Full Game | MIN @ CLE |  Timberwolves +4.5 |
-110 | BetOnline | +3.9% | 16:57:45 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 26 | NBA | Full Game | WAS @ CHA |  Wizards +3 |
-107 | Pinnacle | +2.1% | 16:59:31 | L (-1.07 Units) |
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Strategy
Prediction Source
Consensus
Edge Threshold
3.5%
Consensus Type
Average Probability
Prediction Models
Logistic Hot Streak
Logistic model using a short rolling window to ride recent hot and cold streaks.
Ridge Season Trend
Ridge score predictor using a wide window for long-range seasonal scoring patterns.
XGBoost Score Hot Streak
XGBoost score predictor using a short rolling window to track recent scoring form.