The Certain Consortium
Generalist
Moderate
Created Mar 3, 2026
Performance
Record (W-L-P)
59-73-1
Win Rate
44.7%
ROI
-8.3%
Units
-11.03
Avg CLV
+0.48%
CLV Rate
43.5%
Predictions History (133)
| Date | League | Period | Game | Prediction | Odds | Book | CLV | Time ET | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | NBA | Full Game | IND @ MIL |  Bucks +4.5 |
-110 | Bookmaker | +3.2% | 18:00:15 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 25 | NBA | Full Game | DET @ PHI |  Pistons +1.5 |
-118 | FanDuel | +9.0% | 17:02:06 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 24 | NHL | Full Game | VGK @ CBJ |  Blue Jackets +1.5 |
-215 | Circa | +1.1% | 16:58:23 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 23 | NBA | Full Game | TOR @ WAS |  Wizards +9 |
-108 | Pinnacle | +1.8% | 16:57:32 | L (-1.08 Units) |
| Oct 22 | NHL | Full Game | LAK @ NYI |  Islanders +1.5 |
-270 | Bookmaker | +1.1% | 19:00:45 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 21 | NBA | Full Game | MIL @ WAS | Bucks +4.5 |
-101 | Pinnacle | +3.0% | 16:57:29 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 19 | NHL | Full Game | COL @ PHI |  Flyers ML |
+209 | Pinnacle | -1.7% | 16:57:49 | W (+2.09 Units) |
| Oct 17 | NHL | Full Game | OTT @ PHI | Flyers +1.5 |
-196 | FanDuel | +1.0% | 16:58:28 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 15 | NHL | Full Game | WPG @ CHI |  Blackhawks +1.5 |
-220 | Circa | +1.7% | 17:59:16 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 13 | NHL | Full Game | SEA @ PHI |  Kraken ML |
-101 | Pinnacle | -0.8% | 17:00:04 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 10 | NHL | Full Game | CAR @ CHI | Blackhawks +1.5 |
-119 | Pinnacle | +0.4% | 16:58:57 | L (-1.19 Units) |
| Oct 10 | NHL | Full Game | EDM @ SJS |  Oilers -1.5 |
+164 | Pinnacle | +0.6% | 13:59:54 | W (+1.64 Units) |
| Oct 07 | NHL | Full Game | EDM @ ANA |  Ducks +1.5 |
-200 | Circa | +1.1% | 19:57:17 | L (-2 Units) |
| Oct 04 | NHL | Full Game | VGK @ VAN |  Canucks ML |
+254 | Circa | -1.5% | 19:01:08 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Oct 03 | NHL | Full Game | CAR @ PHI | Flyers +1.5 |
-222 | Pinnacle | +0.8% | 16:57:27 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 03 | NHL | Full Game | DAL @ NSH |  Predators +1.5 |
-210 | BetOnline | +0.5% | 18:00:00 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 03 | NHL | Full Game | LAK @ SJS |  Kings ML |
-103 | Pinnacle | -0.7% | 19:58:43 | L (-1.03 Units) |
| Oct 01 | NHL | Full Game | EDM @ VAN | Canucks +1.5 |
-128 | Bookmaker | +0.0% | 20:01:03 | L (-1.28 Units) |
| Sep 30 | NHL | Full Game | PIT @ PHI |  Penguins +1.5 |
-200 | Circa | +1.6% | 16:57:36 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Sep 26 | NHL | Full Game | CAR @ NSH | Predators +1.5 |
-194 | FanDuel | +0.7% | 12:59:38 | L (-1.94 Units) |
| Sep 26 | NHL | Full Game | WSH @ PHI |  Capitals ML |
+250 | FanDuel | -1.7% | 14:58:28 | W (+2.50 Units) |
| Sep 24 | NHL | Full Game | EDM @ VAN | Oilers ML |
+225 | FanDuel | -1.4% | 18:59:11 | W (+2.25 Units) |
| Sep 24 | NHL | Full Game | ANA @ SJS | Ducks ML |
+230 | FanDuel | -1.8% | 20:01:12 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Sep 22 | NHL | Full Game | VGK @ SJS |  Golden Knights ML |
+150 | Bookmaker | -1.7% | 19:58:00 | W (+1.50 Units) |
| Sep 20 | NHL | Full Game | WSH @ BOS |  Bruins +1.5 |
-194 | FanDuel | +0.2% | 14:59:56 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 14 | NHL | Full Game | VGK @ ANA | Ducks +1.5 |
-250 | Circa | — | 18:57:43 | L (-2.50 Units) |
| May 11 | NBA | Full Game | OKC @ LAL |  Lakers +12.5 |
-105 | Pinnacle | +0.9% | 20:01:34 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 11 | NHL | Full Game | COL @ MIN |  Wild +1.5 |
-194 | FanDuel | +0.7% | 16:59:20 | L (-1.94 Units) |
| May 10 | NBA | Full Game | NYK @ PHI |  Knicks -1.5 |
-110 | Circa | +0.2% | 12:58:19 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 10 | NHL | Full Game | VGK @ ANA | Golden Knights ML |
+108 | Circa | -1.3% | 20:58:52 | L (-1 Unit) |
| May 09 | NBA | Full Game | OKC @ LAL | Lakers +9.5 |
-107 | Pinnacle | +0.9% | 18:02:00 | L (-1.07 Units) |
| Apr 27 | NBA | Full Game | OKC @ PHX |  Suns ML |
+426 | Bookmaker | -1.7% | 18:58:06 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 26 | NBA | Full Game | BOS @ PHI |  76ers ML |
+284 | Bookmaker | +6.2% | 16:59:35 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 25 | NBA | Full Game | OKC @ PHX | Suns ML |
+325 | Pinnacle | -1.2% | 13:01:52 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 24 | NBA | Full Game | BOS @ PHI | 76ers ML |
+285 | Circa | -3.5% | 16:57:37 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 23 | NBA | Full Game | CLE @ TOR |  Cavaliers -2.5 |
-105 | Bookmaker | +1.6% | 17:57:51 | L (-1.05 Units) |
| Apr 15 | NBA | Full Game | ORL @ PHI |  Magic +2 |
-117 | Bookmaker | +0.5% | 16:57:55 | L (-1.17 Units) |
| Apr 14 | NHL | Full Game | CAR @ NYI |  Hurricanes ML |
+148 | Circa | -2.6% | 17:01:58 | W (+1.48 Units) |
| Apr 14 | NHL | Full Game | WSH @ CBJ | Capitals ML |
+135 | Pinnacle | -0.1% | 16:59:03 | W (+1.35 Units) |
| Apr 13 | NHL | Full Game | CAR @ PHI | Hurricanes ML |
+148 | Pinnacle | -0.2% | 16:58:11 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 13 | NHL | Full Game | LAK @ SEA | Kraken +1.5 |
-169 | Pinnacle | +0.8% | 20:00:23 | L (-1.69 Units) |
| Apr 13 | NHL | Full Game | BUF @ CHI | Blackhawks +1.5 |
-140 | Circa | +0.9% | 18:00:19 | L (-1.40 Units) |
| Apr 12 | NHL | Full Game | OTT @ NJD |  Devils +1.5 |
-225 | DraftKings | — | 16:58:11 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 12 | NHL | Full Game | MTL @ NYI |  Canadiens ML |
+115 | Circa | +0.0% | 17:58:35 | W (+1.15 Units) |
| Apr 11 | NHL | Full Game | OTT @ NYI | Islanders +1.5 |
-220 | Circa | +0.5% | 11:00:50 | L (-2.20 Units) |
| Apr 11 | NHL | Full Game | VAN @ SJS | Canucks ML |
+180 | Circa | -0.2% | 19:57:36 | W (+1.80 Units) |
| Apr 11 | NHL | Full Game | STL @ CHI |  Blues -1.5 |
+181 | Pinnacle | +1.5% | 14:59:27 | W (+1.81 Units) |
| Apr 10 | NBA | Full Game | GSW @ SAC |  Kings +11.5 |
-112 | DraftKings | +1.7% | 19:59:54 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 10 | NBA | Full Game | MIA @ WAS | Wizards ML |
+975 | Circa | -2.1% | 16:58:39 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 10 | NBA | Full Game | LAC @ POR |  Clippers +1.5 |
-101 | Pinnacle | +1.2% | 20:00:39 | L (-1.01 Units) |
| Apr 10 | NBA | Full Game | OKC @ DEN |  Thunder +3.5 |
-112 | FanDuel | +2.9% | 20:00:35 | L (-1.12 Units) |
| Apr 09 | NBA | Full Game | BOS @ NYK |  Celtics +5.5 |
-108 | Pinnacle | +5.4% | 16:58:37 | L (-1.08 Units) |
| Apr 09 | NHL | Full Game | TOR @ NYI |  Maple Leafs ML |
+233 | Pinnacle | -3.1% | 15:58:27 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 08 | NBA | Full Game | OKC @ LAC | Clippers +8.5 |
-118 | DraftKings | -0.1% | 20:00:27 | L (-1.18 Units) |
| Apr 08 | NHL | Full Game | EDM @ SJS | Oilers ML |
-110 | Pinnacle | -2.4% | 19:57:49 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 07 | NBA | Full Game | OKC @ LAL | Lakers ML |
+1450 | Circa | -0.8% | 19:58:57 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 06 | NBA | Full Game | CLE @ MEM |  Grizzlies +13.5 |
-110 | FanDuel | +0.0% | 18:00:55 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Apr 05 | NBA | Full Game | LAC @ SAC | Kings +13.5 |
-109 | Pinnacle | +0.2% | 18:58:53 | L (-1.09 Units) |
| Apr 05 | NBA | Full Game | ORL @ NOP |  Pelicans +6 |
-107 | Pinnacle | -1.0% | 17:00:29 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 04 | NHL | Full Game | WPG @ CBJ |  Jets ML |
+130 | Pinnacle | -1.0% | 17:02:28 | W (+1.30 Units) |
| Apr 04 | NHL | Full Game | UTA @ VAN | Canucks +1.5 |
-124 | Pinnacle | +1.2% | 16:58:07 | L (-1.24 Units) |
| Apr 04 | NBA | Full Game | DET @ PHI | Pistons -2.5 |
-108 | Pinnacle | +5.4% | 17:01:34 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 03 | NBA | Full Game | ATL @ BKN |  Nets +17 |
-110 | Circa | +0.0% | 17:01:16 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Apr 03 | NBA | Full Game | BOS @ MIL | Bucks ML |
+1200 | FanDuel | -2.0% | 18:01:40 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 03 | NHL | Full Game | STL @ ANA | Blues ML |
+124 | Pinnacle | -0.7% | 20:01:16 | W (+1.24 Units) |
| Apr 03 | NBA | Full Game | ATL @ BKN | Nets ML |
+1000 | Circa | -2.5% | 18:01:55 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 02 | NHL | Full Game | MTL @ NYR |  Rangers +1.5 |
-200 | Bookmaker | +3.0% | 16:59:51 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 02 | NHL | Full Game | TOR @ SJS | Maple Leafs ML |
+118 | Pinnacle | -1.4% | 20:02:02 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 01 | NBA | Full Game | IND @ CHI |  Pacers +4.5 |
-118 | DraftKings | +1.4% | 17:58:32 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 01 | NBA | Full Game | DEN @ UTA |  Jazz +17.5 |
-115 | Bookmaker | +0.5% | 19:01:54 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 31 | NHL | Full Game | CAR @ CBJ | Blue Jackets +1.5 |
-210 | Circa | +1.5% | 16:59:32 | L (-2.10 Units) |
| Mar 31 | NHL | Full Game | WPG @ CHI | Jets -1.5 |
+170 | Circa | +0.7% | 17:58:46 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 30 | NHL | Full Game | TOR @ ANA | Maple Leafs ML |
+166 | Bookmaker | -0.7% | 20:01:25 | W (+1.66 Units) |
| Mar 30 | NBA | Full Game | CLE @ UTA | Jazz +17.5 |
-114 | FanDuel | +2.4% | 19:01:02 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 30 | NHL | Full Game | STL @ SJS | Blues ML |
-105 | Pinnacle | -1.2% | 19:59:06 | L (-1.05 Units) |
| Mar 29 | NBA | Full Game | BOS @ CHA | Celtics +1.5 |
-104 | Pinnacle | -1.9% | 16:00:17 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 29 | NHL | Full Game | FLA @ NYR |  Panthers ML |
+146 | Circa | -3.0% | 11:02:14 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 28 | NHL | Full Game | OTT @ TBL |  Senators ML |
+136 | Circa | +1.9% | 11:01:10 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 28 | NBA | Full Game | CHI @ MEM | Grizzlies +4.5 |
-103 | Pinnacle | -0.0% | 18:01:07 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 28 | NHL | Full Game | FLA @ NYI | Panthers ML |
+159 | Pinnacle | -3.4% | 10:57:58 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 27 | NBA | Full Game | HOU @ MEM | Grizzlies ML |
+665 | Pinnacle | -2.2% | 17:59:31 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 26 | NBA | Full Game | NYK @ CHA | Knicks +2 |
-109 | Pinnacle | +0.2% | 16:57:59 | L (-1.09 Units) |
| Mar 25 | NBA | Full Game | CHI @ PHI |  Bulls ML |
+220 | FanDuel | -1.4% | 16:57:42 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 24 | NBA | Full Game | DEN @ PHX | Suns +6.5 |
-115 | DraftKings | +0.5% | 20:58:26 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 24 | NBA | Full Game | DEN @ PHX | Suns ML |
+215 | Circa | -1.2% | 22:57:08 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 23 | NBA | Full Game | OKC @ PHI | 76ers ML |
+771 | Bookmaker | -3.0% | 16:59:54 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 23 | NHL | Full Game | OTT @ NYR | Rangers +1.5 |
-150 | Bookmaker | +0.6% | 16:57:44 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 23 | NBA | Full Game | TOR @ UTA | Jazz +9.5 |
+100 | DraftKings | +1.2% | 20:57:07 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 23 | NBA | Full Game | HOU @ CHI | Bulls +8.5 |
-110 | Bookmaker | -0.7% | 18:01:00 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 22 | CBB | Full Game | JOES @ CAL |  Joseph's +5.5 |
-110 | Bookmaker | +0.0% | 18:59:59 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 22 | NHL | Full Game | WPG @ NYR | Jets ML |
+100 | Bookmaker | -2.1% | 10:01:59 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 21 | NHL | Full Game | DAL @ MIN | Wild +1.5 |
-228 | Bookmaker | -0.3% | 13:59:08 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 21 | NBA | Full Game | OKC @ WAS | Wizards +21 |
-110 | Bookmaker | -1.7% | 15:00:58 | P (+0 Units) |
| Mar 20 | NBA | Full Game | NYK @ BKN | Nets ML |
+993 | Bookmaker | -1.1% | 16:58:03 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 20 | NHL | Full Game | COL @ CHI | Blackhawks ML |
+257 | Bookmaker | -3.5% | 17:59:27 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 20 | NBA | Full Game | BOS @ MEM | Grizzlies +15.5 |
-110 | DraftKings | +0.2% | 19:59:30 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 19 | NHL | Full Game | BUF @ SJS |  Sabres -1.5 |
+168 | Bookmaker | +0.4% | 20:02:16 | W (+1.68 Units) |
| Mar 19 | NHL | Full Game | WPG @ BOS | Jets ML |
+125 | Bookmaker | -1.0% | 17:01:12 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 19 | NBA | Full Game | DET @ WAS | Wizards +14 |
-107 | Bookmaker | +0.7% | 16:58:13 | L (-1.07 Units) |
| Mar 19 | NBA | Full Game | LAC @ NOP | Clippers ML |
+145 | Bookmaker | -1.7% | 19:59:43 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 17 | NHL | Full Game | CAR @ CBJ | Blue Jackets +1.5 |
-235 | Bookmaker | +0.0% | 16:04:08 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 17 | NBA | Full Game | MIA @ CHA |  Heat ML |
+169 | Bookmaker | -2.3% | 16:03:46 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 16 | NBA | Full Game | ORL @ ATL | Magic +3 |
-107 | Bookmaker | -0.8% | 16:02:52 | L (-1.07 Units) |
| Mar 16 | NBA | Full Game | POR @ BKN | Nets +10.5 |
-110 | Bookmaker | -1.7% | 17:03:28 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Mar 15 | NBA | Full Game | IND @ MIL | Pacers +7 |
-115 | Bookmaker | -2.8% | 13:00:30 | L (-1.15 Units) |
| Mar 15 | NHL | Full Game | TOR @ MIN | Maple Leafs ML |
+211 | Bookmaker | -2.1% | 17:04:52 | W (+2.11 Units) |
| Mar 15 | NBA | Full Game | IND @ MIL | Pacers ML |
+280 | DraftKings | -0.1% | 14:03:50 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 15 | NBA | Full Game | POR @ PHI | 76ers ML |
+287 | Bookmaker | -1.7% | 15:00:22 | W (+2.87 Units) |
| Mar 14 | NHL | Full Game | LAK @ NJD | Kings ML |
+129 | Bookmaker | -2.3% | 16:05:20 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 14 | NHL | Full Game | CGY @ NYI |  Flames ML |
+123 | Bookmaker | -2.3% | 16:02:48 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 14 | NBA | Full Game | ORL @ MIA | Magic +4.5 |
-111 | Bookmaker | -0.2% | 17:02:40 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 13 | NBA | Full Game | CLE @ DAL |  Mavericks +13.5 |
-110 | Bookmaker | +0.7% | 17:01:45 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Mar 13 | NHL | Full Game | LAK @ NYI | Kings ML |
+122 | Bookmaker | -1.6% | 16:05:40 | W (+1.22 Units) |
| Mar 12 | NBA | Full Game | DEN @ SAS |  Nuggets +5 |
-115 | Bookmaker | +7.4% | 18:02:09 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 12 | CBB | Full Game | LOU @ MIA | Louisville ML |
-119 | Bookmaker | -1.7% | 12:01:12 | L (-1.19 Units) |
| Mar 12 | CBB | Full Game | UCD @ CSF | Davis +1 |
-109 | Bookmaker | -1.4% | 21:03:19 | L (-1.09 Units) |
| Mar 11 | CBB | Full Game | BYU @ WVU | Virginia +4 |
-106 | Pinnacle | +2.1% | 16:00:53 | L (-1.06 Units) |
| Mar 11 | NBA | Full Game | NYK @ UTA | Jazz +14 |
-110 | Bookmaker | +0.0% | 18:04:11 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Mar 11 | CBB | Full Game | GTWN @ DEP | Georgetown +1.5 |
-115 | Bookmaker | +7.1% | 18:03:14 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 10 | CBB | Full Game | BAY @ ASU | Baylor -4 |
-110 | Bookmaker | +5.0% | 10:03:39 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Mar 10 | NHL | Full Game | LAK @ BOS | Kings ML |
+132 | Bookmaker | -2.8% | 16:02:45 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 10 | NBA | Full Game | MEM @ PHI | Grizzlies +2.5 |
-102 | BetMGM | -5.2% | 16:03:15 | L (-1.02 Units) |
| Mar 10 | CBB | Full Game | WAKE @ VT | Forest +2.5 |
-105 | Bookmaker | +22.7% | 16:04:31 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 09 | CBB | Full Game | TOWS @ HOF | Towson +4 |
-110 | Bookmaker | +0.1% | 19:49:16 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 09 | NHL | Full Game | UTA @ CHI | Blackhawks ML |
+194 | Bookmaker | -1.8% | 19:49:59 | W (+1.94 Units) |
| Mar 09 | NBA | Full Game | GSW @ UTA |  Warriors -6.5 |
-110 | Bookmaker | +0.0% | 19:47:49 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Mar 08 | NHL | Full Game | STL @ ANA | Blues ML |
+145 | Bookmaker | -1.8% | 19:24:15 | W (+1.45 Units) |
| Mar 08 | NBA | Full Game | HOU @ SAS |  Rockets +5 |
-104 | Bookmaker | -1.2% | 17:55:38 | L (-1.04 Units) |
| Mar 07 | NBA | Full Game | LAC @ MEM | Grizzlies +7.5 |
-115 | Bookmaker | -1.1% | 17:34:35 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 07 | CBB | Full Game | HOU @ OKST | State ML |
+733 | Bookmaker | -2.6% | 11:42:43 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 07 | NBA | Full Game | LAC @ MEM | Grizzlies ML |
+212 | Bookmaker | -5.7% | 11:40:02 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 06 | CBB | Full Game | CMU @ BALL | Michigan +2.5 |
-118 | Bookmaker | -0.1% | 16:07:10 | L (-1.18 Units) |
| Mar 06 | CBB | Full Game | SJU @ HALL | John's -4.5 |
-115 | Bookmaker | +1.1% | 16:05:54 | W (+1 Unit) |
Showing – of
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Strategy
Prediction Source
Consensus
Edge Threshold
7.0%
Consensus Type
Unanimous
Prediction Models
Elo Sharp
Fine-tuned Elo optimized for closing-line accuracy and sharp-money alignment.
Glicko Sharp
Precision-tuned Glicko-2 calibrated to closing lines for edge detection.
Logistic Sharp
Logistic model tuned to sharp closing lines with regularization for edge precision.
Matchup Sharp
Optimized Bradley-Terry tuned to sharp closing lines for precise win probabilities.
XGBoost Classifier
Gradient-boosted tree classifier using advanced team features for win probability.