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Counter Coalition

Counter Coalition

Specialist Conservative

Created Mar 20, 2026

Performance

Record (W-L)

65-66

Win Rate

49.6%

ROI

-4.4%

Units

-5.76

Avg CLV

+0.5%

CLV Rate

74.8%

Predictions History (131)

Date	League	Period	Game	Prediction	Odds	Book	CLV	Time ET	Result
Oct 26	NBA	Full Game	MIN @ CLE	Cavaliers Over 231.5	-115	DraftKings	+6.1%	16:59:24	W (+1 Unit)
Oct 26	NBA	Full Game	DAL @ MIA	Mavericks +8	-115	Circa	+0.5%	16:58:25	W (+1 Unit)
Oct 25	NBA	Full Game	ORL @ NYK	Magic +7.5	-104	Pinnacle	+4.6%	16:59:06	W (+1 Unit)
Oct 25	NBA	Full Game	IND @ BKN	Nets Over 231	-106	Pinnacle	+2.1%	15:58:08	W (+1 Unit)
Oct 24	NBA	Full Game	BKN @ CLE	Cavaliers Over 228	-110	Circa	+1.2%	16:58:45	W (+1 Unit)
Oct 24	NBA	Full Game	MIL @ PHI	76ers Over 234.5	-106	Pinnacle	+0.9%	16:57:19	W (+1 Unit)
Oct 23	NBA	Full Game	CHI @ MIL	Bulls +2	-110	Pinnacle	+1.6%	15:59:41	W (+1 Unit)
Oct 23	NBA	Full Game	DAL @ IND	Mavericks +7.5	-110	BetOnline	+1.1%	16:58:29	W (+1 Unit)
Oct 22	NBA	Full Game	DEN @ OKC	Nuggets ML	+270	DraftKings	-1.6%	18:59:37	L (-1 Unit)
Oct 22	NBA	Full Game	CLE @ PHI	Cavaliers +2.5	-105	Pinnacle	+1.2%	17:02:06	L (-1.05 Units)
Oct 21	NBA	Full Game	ATL @ ORL	Magic Over 233.5	-111	Bookmaker	+0.9%	17:01:04	L (-1.11 Units)
Oct 21	NBA	Full Game	MIL @ WAS	Bucks +4.5	-101	Pinnacle	+3.0%	17:01:45	W (+1 Unit)
Oct 20	NBA	Full Game	PHI @ NYK	76ers +4.5	-108	FanDuel	+0.5%	16:57:14	W (+1 Unit)
Oct 20	NBA	Full Game	PHI @ NYK	Knicks Over 231.5	-104	Pinnacle	+1.4%	16:59:24	L (-1.04 Units)
Jun 13	NBA	Full Game	NYK @ SAS	Knicks +5.5	-102	Pinnacle	+1.9%	18:00:40	W (+1 Unit)
Jun 10	NBA	Full Game	SAS @ NYK	Spurs +2.5	-115	DraftKings	-0.4%	17:58:39	W (+1 Unit)
Jun 08	NBA	Full Game	SAS @ NYK	Knicks Under 216.5	-115	DraftKings	+1.3%	17:59:02	L (-1.15 Units)
Jun 08	NBA	Full Game	SAS @ NYK	Spurs +2	-107	Pinnacle	+1.6%	17:57:22	W (+1 Unit)
Jun 05	NBA	Full Game	NYK @ SAS	Knicks +6.5	-101	Pinnacle	+1.2%	17:57:27	W (+1 Unit)
Jun 03	NBA	Full Game	NYK @ SAS	Knicks +5	-104	Pinnacle	+2.1%	18:01:43	W (+1 Unit)
May 30	NBA	Full Game	SAS @ OKC	Thunder Under 212.5	-110	Circa	+2.2%	17:58:40	L (-1.10 Units)
May 30	NBA	Full Game	SAS @ OKC	Spurs +3.5	-105	Pinnacle	+1.8%	17:58:37	W (+1 Unit)
May 28	NBA	Full Game	OKC @ SAS	Thunder +3.5	-106	Pinnacle	+0.9%	18:00:52	L (-1.06 Units)
May 26	NBA	Full Game	SAS @ OKC	Spurs +4.5	-114	FanDuel	+1.2%	17:57:24	L (-1.14 Units)
May 24	NBA	Full Game	OKC @ SAS	Thunder +3	-104	Pinnacle	+1.4%	17:58:54	L (-1.04 Units)
May 23	NBA	Full Game	NYK @ CLE	Cavaliers Under 215.5	-107	Pinnacle	+0.5%	17:59:12	L (-1.07 Units)
May 23	NBA	Full Game	NYK @ CLE	Knicks +3.5	-115	DraftKings	-0.2%	17:59:46	W (+1 Unit)
May 22	NBA	Full Game	OKC @ SAS	Thunder +2	-115	Circa	-3.2%	17:58:31	W (+1 Unit)
May 21	NBA	Full Game	CLE @ NYK	Knicks Under 215.5	-110	Circa	+0.0%	17:58:03	W (+1 Unit)
May 21	NBA	Full Game	CLE @ NYK	Cavaliers +5.5	-109	Pinnacle	+0.2%	17:57:56	L (-1.09 Units)
May 20	NBA	Full Game	SAS @ OKC	Spurs +8	-109	Pinnacle	+0.9%	18:01:34	L (-1.09 Units)
May 20	NBA	Full Game	SAS @ OKC	Thunder Under 217	-110	Circa	+5.2%	17:58:26	L (-1.10 Units)
May 19	NBA	Full Game	CLE @ NYK	Cavaliers +6.5	-102	DraftKings	+3.3%	17:59:33	W (+1 Unit)
May 18	NBA	Full Game	SAS @ OKC	Spurs +7	-105	Pinnacle	+1.2%	17:59:28	W (+1 Unit)
May 17	NBA	Full Game	CLE @ DET	Cavaliers +4.5	-105	Circa	+1.6%	18:00:33	W (+1 Unit)
May 15	NBA	Full Game	DET @ CLE	Cavaliers Under 210.5	-110	Circa	+2.4%	17:00:31	W (+1 Unit)
May 15	NBA	Full Game	DET @ CLE	Pistons +4.5	-110	Pinnacle	+0.9%	16:58:34	W (+1 Unit)
May 13	NBA	Full Game	CLE @ DET	Pistons Under 212.5	-115	DraftKings	+3.2%	17:58:18	L (-1.15 Units)
May 13	NBA	Full Game	CLE @ DET	Cavaliers +4.5	-112	DraftKings	+1.2%	17:58:07	W (+1 Unit)
May 11	NBA	Full Game	DET @ CLE	Pistons +3.5	-105	DraftKings	+0.7%	18:00:19	L (-1.05 Units)
May 11	NBA	Full Game	DET @ CLE	Cavaliers Under 213.5	-115	DraftKings	+1.1%	17:58:34	L (-1.15 Units)
May 10	NBA	Full Game	NYK @ PHI	76ers Under 215	-107	Pinnacle	+3.1%	13:00:21	L (-1.07 Units)
May 09	NBA	Full Game	DET @ CLE	Pistons +4.5	-102	Pinnacle	+0.3%	13:01:10	L (-1.02 Units)
May 09	NBA	Full Game	DET @ CLE	Cavaliers Under 213	-107	Pinnacle	+4.3%	12:57:41	L (-1.07 Units)
May 08	NBA	Full Game	NYK @ PHI	Knicks +2.5	-105	Circa	-1.6%	16:58:53	W (+1 Unit)
May 08	NBA	Full Game	NYK @ PHI	76ers Under 213.5	-108	Pinnacle	-1.9%	17:01:38	W (+1 Unit)
May 07	NBA	Full Game	CLE @ DET	Pistons Under 216	-107	Pinnacle	+2.8%	17:00:54	W (+1 Unit)
May 07	NBA	Full Game	CLE @ DET	Cavaliers +3.5	-102	Pinnacle	+1.4%	17:00:58	L (-1.02 Units)
May 06	NBA	Full Game	MIN @ SAS	Spurs Under 218	-109	Pinnacle	+1.4%	20:00:19	L (-1.09 Units)
May 06	NBA	Full Game	PHI @ NYK	Knicks Under 213.5	-110	DraftKings	-1.7%	16:57:52	W (+1 Unit)
May 05	NBA	Full Game	CLE @ DET	Cavaliers +4	-110	Pinnacle	+1.6%	16:57:30	L (-1.10 Units)
May 05	NBA	Full Game	CLE @ DET	Pistons Under 216	-107	Pinnacle	-0.5%	16:58:34	W (+1 Unit)
May 04	NBA	Full Game	PHI @ NYK	Knicks Under 214	-108	Pinnacle	+4.1%	17:57:33	L (-1.08 Units)
May 04	NBA	Full Game	PHI @ NYK	76ers +7.5	-104	Pinnacle	+1.4%	17:57:36	L (-1.04 Units)
May 03	NBA	Full Game	ORL @ DET	Magic ML	+275	Circa	-1.6%	13:01:42	L (-1 Unit)
May 03	NBA	Full Game	TOR @ CLE	Raptors ML	+275	Circa	-2.0%	17:00:14	L (-1 Unit)
May 02	NBA	Full Game	PHI @ BOS	76ers +7.5	-115	DraftKings	+9.6%	16:59:07	W (+1 Unit)
May 01	NBA	Full Game	LAL @ HOU	Lakers +4	-106	Pinnacle	-0.7%	18:58:18	W (+1 Unit)
May 01	NBA	Full Game	DET @ ORL	Magic Under 211	-106	Pinnacle	+2.1%	17:01:20	W (+1 Unit)
Apr 30	NBA	Full Game	BOS @ PHI	76ers Under 213.5	-110	DraftKings	+0.0%	18:01:23	W (+1 Unit)
Apr 30	NBA	Full Game	NYK @ ATL	Hawks Under 214.5	-110	Bookmaker	+0.0%	16:59:54	L (-1.10 Units)
Apr 29	NBA	Full Game	ORL @ DET	Pistons Under 211.5	-107	Pinnacle	+2.6%	16:59:49	L (-1.07 Units)
Apr 29	NBA	Full Game	HOU @ LAL	Rockets +4	-110	Circa	+1.6%	19:58:52	W (+1 Unit)
Apr 28	NBA	Full Game	ATL @ NYK	Hawks +6.5	-106	Pinnacle	+0.9%	18:00:41	L (-1.06 Units)
Apr 28	NBA	Full Game	PHI @ BOS	Celtics Under 215.5	-106	Pinnacle	+3.3%	16:57:10	W (+1 Unit)
Apr 27	NBA	Full Game	DET @ ORL	Magic Under 215	-104	Pinnacle	+2.8%	18:01:52	W (+1 Unit)
Apr 27	NBA	Full Game	OKC @ PHX	Suns +11.5	-106	Pinnacle	+3.0%	18:59:46	W (+1 Unit)
Apr 26	NBA	Full Game	BOS @ PHI	76ers +8.5	-106	Bookmaker	+7.6%	16:59:47	L (-1.06 Units)
Apr 26	NBA	Full Game	BOS @ PHI	76ers Under 214.5	-109	Pinnacle	+3.1%	17:00:37	L (-1.09 Units)
Apr 25	NBA	Full Game	DET @ ORL	Magic Under 215.5	-105	Pinnacle	+1.6%	11:00:51	L (-1.05 Units)
Apr 25	NBA	Full Game	OKC @ PHX	Suns +9	-114	Bookmaker	+0.7%	12:57:10	L (-1.14 Units)
Apr 24	NBA	Full Game	BOS @ PHI	76ers Under 215.5	-105	Pinnacle	+1.2%	16:59:08	W (+1 Unit)
Apr 24	NBA	Full Game	BOS @ PHI	76ers +8.5	-102	Pinnacle	+0.3%	16:59:08	W (+1 Unit)
Apr 23	NBA	Full Game	NYK @ ATL	Hawks Under 214.5	-105	Pinnacle	+1.2%	16:59:56	L (-1.05 Units)
Apr 23	NBA	Full Game	DEN @ MIN	Timberwolves Over 231.5	-110	Circa	+2.4%	19:00:21	L (-1.10 Units)
Apr 22	NBA	Full Game	PHX @ OKC	Thunder Under 216.5	-112	DraftKings	-0.4%	21:01:32	L (-1.12 Units)
Apr 20	NBA	Full Game	ATL @ NYK	Hawks +6.5	-106	FanDuel	+2.3%	17:58:01	W (+1 Unit)
Apr 20	NBA	Full Game	MIN @ DEN	Timberwolves +7.5	-102	Pinnacle	+1.9%	20:01:39	W (+1 Unit)
Apr 19	NBA	Full Game	PHI @ BOS	Celtics Under 215	-109	Pinnacle	-1.9%	10:58:10	W (+1 Unit)
Apr 19	NBA	Full Game	PHX @ OKC	Thunder Under 215.5	-105	Pinnacle	-0.8%	13:59:08	W (+1 Unit)
Apr 18	NBA	Full Game	MIN @ DEN	Timberwolves +7	-103	Pinnacle	+1.6%	13:00:33	L (-1.03 Units)
Apr 18	NBA	Full Game	MIN @ DEN	Nuggets Over 232	-109	Bookmaker	+1.7%	12:59:27	L (-1.09 Units)
Apr 17	NBA	Full Game	GSW @ PHX	Warriors +3	-108	Pinnacle	+0.5%	20:00:50	L (-1.08 Units)
Apr 15	NBA	Full Game	GSW @ LAC	Warriors +6	-108	Pinnacle	+2.1%	19:58:04	W (+1 Unit)
Apr 15	NBA	Full Game	ORL @ PHI	Magic +2	-117	Bookmaker	+0.5%	17:02:03	L (-1.17 Units)
Apr 14	NBA	Full Game	MIA @ CHA	Hornets Over 227.5	-115	FanDuel	+1.3%	17:00:26	W (+1 Unit)
Apr 14	NBA	Full Game	MIA @ CHA	Heat +6	-105	Circa	+0.7%	16:59:51	W (+1 Unit)
Apr 12	NBA	Full Game	CHA @ NYK	Knicks ML	+610	FanDuel	-3.0%	15:59:19	L (-1 Unit)
Apr 12	NBA	Full Game	WAS @ CLE	Cavaliers Over 235.5	-104	Pinnacle	-0.8%	16:00:59	W (+1 Unit)
Apr 10	NBA	Full Game	CLE @ ATL	Hawks Over 233	-108	Pinnacle	+0.5%	16:58:25	L (-1.08 Units)
Apr 10	NBA	Full Game	TOR @ NYK	Raptors +6.5	-110	Bookmaker	+0.0%	16:59:58	L (-1.10 Units)
Apr 09	NBA	Full Game	MIA @ TOR	Raptors Over 236	-110	Circa	+1.1%	17:01:44	W (+1 Unit)
Apr 09	NBA	Full Game	BOS @ NYK	Celtics +5.5	-108	Pinnacle	+5.4%	17:01:11	L (-1.08 Units)
Apr 08	NBA	Full Game	ATL @ CLE	Cavaliers Over 236.5	-107	Pinnacle	+0.7%	16:58:14	W (+1 Unit)
Apr 08	NBA	Full Game	ATL @ CLE	Hawks +3.5	-115	DraftKings	-2.8%	16:57:15	L (-1.15 Units)
Apr 07	NBA	Full Game	MIN @ IND	Pacers Over 232.5	-110	FanDuel	+2.2%	17:01:31	L (-1.10 Units)
Apr 07	NBA	Full Game	MIN @ IND	Pacers ML	+600	Circa	-1.5%	16:59:54	L (-1 Unit)
Apr 06	NBA	Full Game	POR @ DEN	Trail Blazers +7.5	-103	Pinnacle	+2.1%	18:58:24	W (+1 Unit)
Apr 06	NBA	Full Game	CLE @ MEM	Grizzlies Over 231.5	-105	Pinnacle	+1.2%	17:58:58	W (+1 Unit)
Apr 05	NBA	Full Game	MEM @ MIL	Grizzlies +6.5	-106	Pinnacle	-1.4%	13:00:01	L (-1.06 Units)
Apr 05	NBA	Full Game	WAS @ BKN	Nets Over 230.5	-110	Circa	+0.2%	12:58:57	W (+1 Unit)
Apr 03	NBA	Full Game	MIN @ PHI	76ers Over 235	-110	Bookmaker	-2.4%	16:58:19	L (-1.10 Units)
Apr 03	NBA	Full Game	MIN @ PHI	Timberwolves +4.5	-106	FanDuel	+4.2%	17:01:04	L (-1.06 Units)
Apr 02	NBA	Full Game	MIN @ DET	Timberwolves +3.5	-105	Pinnacle	-5.5%	17:01:52	L (-1.05 Units)
Apr 02	NBA	Full Game	PHX @ CHA	Suns +6	-104	Pinnacle	+1.4%	16:58:53	L (-1.04 Units)
Apr 01	NBA	Full Game	ATL @ ORL	Magic Over 234	-110	Circa	+3.3%	16:57:15	L (-1.10 Units)
Apr 01	NBA	Full Game	BOS @ MIA	Heat Over 229.5	-110	Bookmaker	+0.0%	16:59:42	W (+1 Unit)
Mar 31	NBA	Full Game	TOR @ DET	Raptors +3.5	-107	Pinnacle	+0.7%	17:59:32	L (-1.07 Units)
Mar 31	NBA	Full Game	PHX @ ORL	Suns +2	-107	Pinnacle	+0.7%	17:00:13	L (-1.07 Units)
Mar 30	NBA	Full Game	PHX @ MEM	Grizzlies ML	+575	Circa	-1.2%	17:58:07	L (-1 Unit)
Mar 30	NBA	Full Game	BOS @ ATL	Celtics +3	-111	Pinnacle	+1.4%	17:00:48	L (-1.11 Units)
Mar 29	NBA	Full Game	BOS @ CHA	Celtics +2.5	-107	Pinnacle	+0.7%	17:59:39	W (+1 Unit)
Mar 29	NBA	Full Game	MIA @ IND	Pacers +9.5	-107	Pinnacle	+4.0%	15:00:37	W (+1 Unit)
Mar 28	NBA	Full Game	PHI @ CHA	Hornets Over 230.5	-110	Circa	+4.4%	16:00:10	W (+1 Unit)
Mar 28	NBA	Full Game	PHI @ CHA	76ers +6.5	-101	Pinnacle	+2.1%	15:57:20	W (+1 Unit)
Mar 27	NBA	Full Game	MIA @ CLE	Heat +5.5	-105	Pinnacle	+1.2%	17:00:19	L (-1.05 Units)
Mar 27	NBA	Full Game	ATL @ BOS	Hawks +5	-108	Pinnacle	+0.5%	16:57:08	L (-1.08 Units)
Mar 26	NBA	Full Game	NOP @ DET	Pelicans +4	-107	Pinnacle	-2.6%	16:59:27	L (-1.07 Units)
Mar 26	NBA	Full Game	SAC @ ORL	Magic Over 230	-110	Circa	+1.1%	17:00:57	W (+1 Unit)
Mar 25	NBA	Full Game	LAL @ IND	Pacers ML	+385	FanDuel	+0.1%	17:01:21	L (-1 Unit)
Mar 25	NBA	Full Game	CHI @ PHI	Bulls +6.5	-106	Pinnacle	+0.9%	16:58:10	L (-1.06 Units)
Mar 24	NBA	Full Game	SAC @ CHA	Hornets Over 231	-109	Pinnacle	+3.8%	16:58:30	L (-1.09 Units)
Mar 24	NBA	Full Game	NOP @ NYK	Knicks Over 229.5	-106	Pinnacle	+0.7%	16:59:48	W (+1 Unit)
Mar 23	NBA	Full Game	IND @ ORL	Magic Over 232.5	-105	Bovada	+3.4%	16:57:41	W (+1 Unit)
Mar 23	NBA	Full Game	HOU @ CHI	Bulls +8.5	-110	Bookmaker	-0.7%	17:58:17	W (+1 Unit)
Mar 22	NBA	Full Game	BKN @ SAC	Nets ML	+197	Bookmaker	-3.0%	15:59:56	L (-1 Unit)
Mar 22	NBA	Full Game	WAS @ NYK	Knicks Over 228.5	-110	Bookmaker	+2.2%	18:58:30	W (+1 Unit)
Mar 21	NBA	Full Game	CLE @ NOP	Pelicans Over 237	-110	Bookmaker	+3.3%	16:57:44	L (-1.10 Units)
Mar 21	NBA	Full Game	OKC @ WAS	Wizards Over 231.5	-110	Bookmaker	-1.1%	15:01:16	W (+1 Unit)
Mar 20	NBA	Full Game	NYK @ BKN	Nets Under 213	-109	Bookmaker	-3.1%	17:01:30	W (+1 Unit)
Mar 20	NBA	Full Game	GSW @ DET	Warriors +4.5	-105	Bookmaker	-2.4%	16:59:23	L (-1.05 Units)

Showing – of

Strategy

Prediction Source

Consensus

Edge Threshold

13.5%

Consensus Type

Average Probability

Prediction Models

Ridge Sharp

Ridge model tuned for closing-line accuracy on spreads and totals.

Poisson Sharp

Poisson model calibrated to sharp lines for precise over/under and side predictions.

XGBoost Score Sharp

XGBoost regressor tuned for sharp-line accuracy on points and totals.

Coverage

Leagues

NBA

Markets

Moneyline Spread Total

Periods

Full Game

Tags

Contrarian Diversity