Decisive Opening Conclave
Multi-Focus
Moderate
Created Mar 3, 2026
Performance
Record (W-L-P)
40-51-4
Win Rate
44.0%
ROI
-7.9%
Units
-7.52
Avg CLV
-0.27%
CLV Rate
52.6%
Predictions History (95)
| Date | League | Period | Game | Prediction | Odds | Book | CLV | Time ET | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | NBA | 1st Half | DET @ PHI |  Pistons +0.5 |
-112 | FanDuel | +3.5% | 16:59:40 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 25 | NBA | 1st Half | LAL @ UTA |  Lakers -3 |
-112 | Pinnacle | +0.3% | 15:01:12 | P (+0 Units) |
| Oct 24 | NBA | 1st Half | SAS @ DAL |  Mavericks +8 |
-110 | Bookmaker | -0.9% | 17:59:47 | P (+0 Units) |
| Oct 21 | NBA | 1st Half | MIL @ WAS |  Bucks ML |
+143 | Pinnacle | -0.1% | 16:58:58 | W (+1.43 Units) |
| Jun 05 | NBA | 1st Half | NYK @ SAS |  Knicks +4.5 |
-111 | Pinnacle | -0.2% | 18:00:36 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 24 | NBA | 1st Half | OKC @ SAS |  Thunder +2 |
-105 | Pinnacle | +2.9% | 17:57:53 | L (-1.05 Units) |
| May 11 | NBA | 1st Half | OKC @ LAL | Lakers +6.5 |
-106 | Pinnacle | +2.7% | 19:58:53 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 10 | NBA | 1st Half | NYK @ PHI | Knicks +0.5 |
-114 | FanDuel | +2.3% | 13:01:01 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 09 | NBA | 1st Half | OKC @ LAL | Lakers +4.5 |
-118 | FanDuel | +0.2% | 18:01:45 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 08 | NBA | 1st Half | NYK @ PHI | Knicks +1.5 |
-104 | Pinnacle | -3.4% | 17:00:51 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 08 | NBA | 1st Half | NYK @ PHI | Knicks ML |
+150 | Circa | -1.4% | 18:00:32 | W (+1.50 Units) |
| May 01 | NBA | 1st Half | LAL @ HOU | Lakers +2.5 |
-112 | FanDuel | +0.9% | 19:01:19 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 30 | NBA | 1st Half | BOS @ PHI |  Celtics -3 |
-108 | Pinnacle | +1.5% | 17:57:14 | L (-1.08 Units) |
| Apr 30 | NBA | 1st Half | NYK @ ATL | Knicks -0.5 |
-115 | Bookmaker | +3.7% | 16:58:56 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 26 | NBA | 1st Half | BOS @ PHI | Celtics -3.5 |
-118 | DraftKings | -2.0% | 16:59:45 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 26 | NBA | 1st Half | LAL @ HOU | Lakers +2.5 |
-114 | Bookmaker | -1.8% | 18:58:13 | L (-1.14 Units) |
| Apr 26 | NBA | 1st Half | CLE @ TOR |  Cavaliers -1.5 |
-110 | Circa | +2.4% | 10:59:52 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Apr 25 | NBA | 1st Half | OKC @ PHX | Thunder -4 |
-107 | Pinnacle | +0.7% | 12:59:57 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 24 | NBA | 1st Half | BOS @ PHI | Celtics -4 |
-114 | Circa | +1.8% | 16:58:50 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 23 | NBA | 1st Half | CLE @ TOR | Cavaliers +0.5 |
-121 | Bookmaker | +0.4% | 17:59:25 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 23 | NBA | 1st Half | NYK @ ATL | Knicks +0 |
-110 | Circa | +0.8% | 16:58:27 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Apr 15 | NBA | 1st Half | ORL @ PHI |  Magic +0.5 |
-109 | Bookmaker | +1.3% | 16:58:04 | L (-1.09 Units) |
| Apr 12 | NBA | 1st Half | DET @ IND |  Pacers +8.5 |
-102 | Bookmaker | -2.8% | 15:57:25 | L (-1.02 Units) |
| Apr 10 | NBA | 1st Half | ORL @ CHI |  Bulls +9.5 |
-111 | Pinnacle | +0.9% | 17:59:16 | L (-1.11 Units) |
| Apr 10 | NBA | 1st Half | OKC @ DEN | Thunder +2 |
-109 | Pinnacle | +3.0% | 19:57:42 | L (-1.09 Units) |
| Apr 10 | NBA | 1st Half | MIA @ WAS |  Wizards ML |
+496 | Bookmaker | -1.7% | 16:59:49 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 09 | NBA | 1st Half | BOS @ NYK | Celtics +3 |
-112 | Pinnacle | +4.1% | 17:00:57 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 09 | NBA | 1st Half | LAL @ GSW | Lakers +1 |
-105 | Pinnacle | +4.6% | 19:59:47 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 09 | NBA | 1st Half | CHI @ WAS | Wizards +3.5 |
-108 | FanDuel | +0.5% | 17:00:05 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 07 | NBA | 1st Half | CHI @ WAS | Wizards +3.5 |
-110 | FanDuel | +1.2% | 17:01:24 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Apr 07 | NBA | 1st Half | OKC @ LAL | Lakers ML |
+575 | Circa | -1.8% | 19:57:21 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 06 | NBA | 1st Half | CLE @ MEM | Cavaliers -7.5 |
-110 | FanDuel | +1.3% | 17:59:24 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Apr 05 | NBA | 1st Half | LAC @ SAC |  Kings +7.5 |
-103 | Pinnacle | +0.9% | 19:00:41 | L (-1.03 Units) |
| Apr 05 | NBA | 1st Half | LAL @ DAL | Lakers -0.5 |
-105 | Circa | +1.2% | 17:00:13 | L (-1.05 Units) |
| Apr 05 | NBA | 1st Half | ORL @ NOP | Magic -2.5 |
-118 | DraftKings | +3.4% | 16:58:59 | L (-1.18 Units) |
| Apr 04 | CBB | 1st Half | ILL @ CONN |  Illinois -0.5 |
-125 | DraftKings | +0.6% | 16:00:07 | L (-1.25 Units) |
| Apr 04 | NBA | 1st Half | DET @ PHI | Pistons -1 |
-105 | Pinnacle | +8.2% | 16:59:10 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 03 | NBA | 1st Half | TOR @ MEM |  Grizzlies +8 |
-108 | Pinnacle | +2.8% | 17:57:11 | L (-1.08 Units) |
| Apr 03 | NBA | 1st Half | BOS @ MIL | Bucks ML |
+538 | Bookmaker | -2.0% | 18:01:40 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 02 | NBA | 1st Half | PHX @ CHA |  Suns ML |
+164 | Pinnacle | -1.2% | 16:58:21 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 02 | NBA | 1st Half | CLE @ GSW |  Warriors ML |
+251 | Pinnacle | -1.0% | 19:57:12 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 01 | NBA | 1st Half | DEN @ UTA |  Jazz ML |
+485 | Circa | -2.1% | 19:01:59 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 01 | NBA | 1st Half | NYK @ MEM | Grizzlies ML |
+410 | Circa | +0.1% | 17:59:33 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 30 | NBA | 1st Half | PHX @ MEM | Grizzlies +7.5 |
-107 | Pinnacle | +1.8% | 18:00:48 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 30 | NBA | 1st Half | CLE @ UTA | Cavaliers -10 |
-112 | Pinnacle | +1.9% | 18:59:15 | P (+0 Units) |
| Mar 29 | NBA | 1st Half | BOS @ CHA | Celtics ML |
+104 | Bookmaker | -3.2% | 16:00:22 | W (+1.04 Units) |
| Mar 29 | NBA | 1st Half | MIA @ IND | Pacers ML |
+225 | DraftKings | +0.8% | 15:01:40 | W (+2.25 Units) |
| Mar 29 | NBA | 1st Half | HOU @ NOP |  Rockets -3 |
-107 | Pinnacle | +1.9% | 17:01:53 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 28 | NBA | 1st Half | DET @ MIN | Pistons +0.5 |
-116 | Pinnacle | +3.6% | 14:59:13 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 27 | NBA | 1st Half | HOU @ MEM | Grizzlies +8 |
-109 | Pinnacle | +1.4% | 18:01:17 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 26 | NBA | 1st Half | NYK @ CHA | Knicks ML |
+107 | Pinnacle | -2.4% | 17:02:01 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 25 | NBA | 1st Half | LAL @ IND | Pacers +6 |
-116 | Bookmaker | +2.1% | 16:58:48 | L (-1.16 Units) |
| Mar 25 | NBA | 1st Half | SAS @ MEM | Grizzlies +10.5 |
-118 | DraftKings | -0.3% | 18:01:28 | L (-1.18 Units) |
| Mar 23 | NBA | 1st Half | OKC @ PHI |  76ers ML |
+425 | Bovada | -2.4% | 17:01:47 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 23 | NBA | 1st Half | TOR @ UTA | Jazz ML |
+230 | Bookmaker | -2.8% | 19:01:18 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 21 | CBB | 1st Half | VAN @ NEB | Vanderbilt ML |
-122 | Bookmaker | -2.1% | 17:59:24 | L (-1.22 Units) |
| Mar 21 | NBA | 1st Half | OKC @ WAS | Wizards +13 |
-117 | Bookmaker | +0.8% | 14:57:14 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 21 | NBA | 1st Half | PHI @ UTA | Jazz +3 |
-115 | Bookmaker | +0.0% | 19:01:21 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 20 | NBA | 1st Half | BOS @ MEM | Celtics -8.5 |
-105 | ESPN | +3.5% | 19:59:08 | L (-1.05 Units) |
| Mar 20 | NBA | 1st Half | NYK @ BKN |  Nets +10.5 |
-110 | Bookmaker | -2.4% | 16:57:52 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 19 | CBB | 1st Half | TXAM @ SMC | A&M +1.5 |
-110 | Bookmaker | +0.9% | 16:59:50 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 19 | NBA | 1st Half | DET @ WAS | Wizards ML |
+380 | Bookmaker | -2.5% | 17:00:33 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 19 | CBB | 1st Half | VCU @ UNC | VCU +1.5 |
-115 | Bookmaker | -0.2% | 15:58:05 | L (-1.15 Units) |
| Mar 19 | NBA | 1st Half | LAC @ NOP |  Clippers ML |
+132 | Bookmaker | -1.8% | 18:59:43 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 17 | CBB | 1st Half | UMBC @ HOW | UMBC +0.5 |
-115 | Bookmaker | +2.4% | 16:03:42 | L (-1.15 Units) |
| Mar 17 | NBA | 1st Half | DET @ WAS | Wizards +11.5 |
-116 | Bookmaker | +0.0% | 16:01:08 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 17 | NBA | 1st Half | OKC @ ORL | Magic ML |
+213 | Bookmaker | -3.4% | 16:04:51 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 17 | CBB | 1st Half | DAV @ OKST | Davidson ML |
+176 | Bookmaker | -4.2% | 17:03:08 | W (+1.76 Units) |
| Mar 16 | NBA | 1st Half | LAL @ HOU | Lakers +1 |
-109 | Pinnacle | -9.6% | 19:02:00 | L (-1.09 Units) |
| Mar 16 | NBA | 1st Half | ORL @ ATL | Magic ML |
+114 | Bookmaker | -2.8% | 16:02:27 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 15 | NBA | 1st Half | POR @ PHI | 76ers ML |
+202 | Bookmaker | -1.9% | 15:01:20 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 15 | NBA | 1st Half | DET @ TOR | Pistons -1.5 |
-115 | Bookmaker | -0.2% | 13:01:10 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 14 | NBA | 1st Half | BKN @ PHI | Nets ML |
+202 | Bookmaker | -3.0% | 10:01:44 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 13 | CBB | 1st Half | UCLA @ MSU | UCLA +2.5 |
-105 | Bookmaker | +0.0% | 19:05:44 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 13 | NBA | 1st Half | CLE @ DAL | Mavericks ML |
+326 | Bookmaker | -2.5% | 17:01:06 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 13 | CBB | 1st Half | UCLA @ MSU | UCLA ML |
+160 | Bookmaker | -2.6% | 18:04:25 | W (+1.60 Units) |
| Mar 12 | CBB | 1st Half | UCD @ CSF | Davis +0.5 |
-114 | Bookmaker | +0.0% | 21:05:32 | L (-1.14 Units) |
| Mar 12 | CBB | 1st Half | CLEM @ UNC | Clemson -0.5 |
-115 | Bookmaker | +1.1% | 19:06:22 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 12 | CBB | 1st Half | CREI @ HALL | Creighton +1.5 |
+100 | Bookmaker | +3.5% | 12:01:28 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 12 | CBB | 1st Half | ISU @ TTU | Tech ML |
+163 | Bookmaker | -4.6% | 10:01:10 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 11 | CBB | 1st Half | GTWN @ DEP | Georgetown +0.5 |
-110 | Bookmaker | +2.4% | 18:06:05 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Mar 11 | NBA | 1st Half | NYK @ UTA | Jazz ML |
+370 | Bookmaker | -2.1% | 18:04:08 | W (+3.70 Units) |
| Mar 11 | NBA | 1st Half | TOR @ NOP |  Raptors -0.5 |
-115 | Bookmaker | +0.4% | 17:03:46 | L (-1.15 Units) |
| Mar 10 | NBA | 1st Half | BOS @ SAS | Celtics ML |
+126 | Bookmaker | -1.9% | 18:04:37 | P (+0 Units) |
| Mar 10 | NBA | 1st Half | BOS @ SAS | Celtics +1.5 |
-105 | Bookmaker | +0.0% | 17:00:16 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 10 | CBB | 1st Half | WAKE @ VT | Forest +1.5 |
-115 | Bookmaker | +5.9% | 16:04:17 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 10 | CBB | 1st Half | BAY @ ASU | Baylor -2 |
-119 | Bookmaker | +3.0% | 10:00:48 | L (-1.19 Units) |
| Mar 09 | NBA | 1st Half | GSW @ UTA | Warriors -3.5 |
-105 | Bookmaker | +1.2% | 19:46:55 | L (-1.05 Units) |
| Mar 07 | NBA | 1st Half | LAC @ MEM | Grizzlies ML |
+170 | Bookmaker | -3.4% | 17:32:53 | W (+1.70 Units) |
| Mar 06 | CBB | 1st Half | DEN @ UND | Denver -1.5 |
-111 | Bookmaker | +0.0% | 16:05:04 | L (-1.11 Units) |
| Mar 06 | CBB | 1st Half | VCU @ DAY | VCU ML |
+100 | Bookmaker | -3.2% | 16:06:16 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 05 | NBA | 1st Half | DET @ SAS | Pistons ML |
+119 | Bookmaker | -1.7% | 17:56:32 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 05 | CBB | 1st Half | MTU @ FIU | Tennessee +0.5 |
-110 | Bookmaker | +3.5% | 17:55:24 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Mar 05 | CBB | 1st Half | JMU @ USM | Madison -0.5 |
-109 | Bookmaker | +2.4% | 17:58:49 | L (-1.09 Units) |
| Mar 05 | CBB | 1st Half | UVU @ SUU | Valley -5 |
-110 | Bookmaker | +2.4% | 17:58:15 | W (+1 Unit) |
Showing – of
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Strategy
Prediction Source
Consensus
Edge Threshold
7.0%
Consensus Type
Unanimous
Prediction Models
Elo Sharp
Fine-tuned Elo optimized for closing-line accuracy and sharp-money alignment.
Glicko Sharp
Precision-tuned Glicko-2 calibrated to closing lines for edge detection.
Logistic Sharp
Logistic model tuned to sharp closing lines with regularization for edge precision.
Matchup Sharp
Optimized Bradley-Terry tuned to sharp closing lines for precise win probabilities.