Vault Pact
Multi-Focus
Conservative
Created Feb 28, 2026
Performance
Record (W-L)
15-15
Win Rate
50.0%
ROI
-4.5%
Units
-1.36
Avg CLV
+1.11%
CLV Rate
90.0%
Predictions History (30)
| Date | League | Period | Game | Prediction | Odds | Book | CLV | Time ET | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | NFL | Full Game | MIA @ NYJ |  Jets Over 39.5 |
-102 | DraftKings | +0.7% | 11:01:42 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 25 | NFL | Full Game | IND @ MIN |  Vikings Over 41.5 |
-105 | Pinnacle | +1.8% | 11:00:56 | L (-1.05 Units) |
| Oct 19 | NFL | Full Game | WAS @ SF |  49Ers Under 52.5 |
-115 | DraftKings | +1.7% | 17:57:58 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 18 | NFL | Full Game | CAR @ PHI |  Eagles Over 38.5 |
-115 | FanDuel | +2.2% | 11:00:59 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 18 | NFL | Full Game | PIT @ TB |  Buccaneers Over 38.5 |
-105 | FanDuel | +0.5% | 11:00:12 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 15 | NFL | 1st Half | SEA @ DEN |  Broncos Over 20 |
-115 | Circa | -2.2% | 17:58:35 | L (-1.15 Units) |
| Oct 15 | NFL | Full Game | SEA @ DEN | Broncos Over 40.5 |
-106 | Pinnacle | +0.9% | 17:58:39 | L (-1.06 Units) |
| Oct 12 | NFL | 1st Half | BUF @ LAR |  Rams Under 27 |
-110 | Bookmaker | +1.1% | 18:00:35 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 12 | NFL | Full Game | BUF @ LAR | Rams Under 54.5 |
-101 | Pinnacle | +0.5% | 17:59:20 | L (-1.01 Units) |
| Oct 11 | NFL | Full Game | HOU @ TEN |  Titans Over 37.5 |
-110 | Pinnacle | -0.5% | 10:57:55 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Oct 11 | NFL | Full Game | CLE @ NYJ | Jets Over 38.5 |
-105 | BetOnline | +1.4% | 10:59:50 | L (-1.05 Units) |
| Oct 04 | NFL | Full Game | GB @ TB | Buccaneers Over 38.5 |
-110 | Bookmaker | +1.4% | 10:59:16 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Oct 04 | NFL | Full Game | JAX @ CIN |  Bengals Under 52 |
-108 | Pinnacle | +2.3% | 10:58:24 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 01 | NFL | 1st Half | PIT @ CLE |  Browns Over 18.5 |
-107 | Pinnacle | +1.8% | 17:58:36 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 01 | NFL | Full Game | PIT @ CLE | Browns Over 37.5 |
-109 | Pinnacle | +1.9% | 17:59:35 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Sep 28 | NFL | Full Game | PHI @ CHI |  Bears Over 42 |
-111 | Bookmaker | +1.4% | 17:57:49 | L (-1.11 Units) |
| Sep 28 | NFL | 1st Half | PHI @ CHI | Bears Over 20.5 |
-110 | Bookmaker | +1.8% | 17:58:53 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Sep 27 | NFL | Full Game | TEN @ NYG |  Giants Over 37.5 |
-105 | Bookmaker | +1.4% | 10:59:48 | L (-1.05 Units) |
| Sep 27 | NFL | Full Game | SEA @ WAS |  Commanders Over 40 |
-110 | Circa | +1.0% | 10:59:25 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Sep 24 | NFL | 1st Half | ATL @ GB |  Packers Over 20.5 |
-112 | DraftKings | +3.3% | 18:01:47 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Sep 24 | NFL | Full Game | ATL @ GB | Packers Over 42.5 |
-115 | DraftKings | +0.5% | 20:02:23 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Sep 20 | NFL | Full Game | PHI @ TEN | Titans Over 39.5 |
-110 | Circa | +0.0% | 10:58:20 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Sep 20 | NFL | Full Game | CLE @ TB | Buccaneers Over 41.5 |
-102 | FanDuel | +1.4% | 11:00:59 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Sep 17 | NFL | 1st Half | DET @ BUF |  Bills Under 27.5 |
-118 | DraftKings | +0.8% | 17:57:42 | L (-1.18 Units) |
| Sep 17 | NFL | Full Game | DET @ BUF | Bills Under 55 |
-108 | Pinnacle | +1.2% | 18:01:35 | L (-1.08 Units) |
| Sep 14 | NFL | 1st Half | DEN @ KC |  Chiefs Over 20.5 |
-105 | BetOnline | +0.9% | 17:59:37 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Sep 14 | NFL | Full Game | DEN @ KC | Chiefs Over 42.5 |
-110 | Circa | +0.2% | 18:01:15 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Sep 13 | NFL | Full Game | NYJ @ TEN | Titans Over 38.5 |
-107 | Bookmaker | +4.0% | 11:00:58 | L (-1.07 Units) |
| Sep 13 | NFL | Full Game | CLE @ JAX |  Jaguars Over 40 |
-108 | Bookmaker | +0.9% | 10:58:28 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Sep 09 | NFL | 1st Half | NE @ SEA |  Seahawks Over 20.5 |
-115 | FanDuel | +0.4% | 17:45:26 | L (-1.15 Units) |
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Strategy
Prediction Source
Consensus
Edge Threshold
13.5%
Consensus Type
Average Probability
Prediction Models
Poisson Short Memory
Poisson model using a narrow recent window to capture current scoring trends.
Ridge Short Memory
Ridge model trained on a narrow lookback for fast-moving scoring environments.