Against Hardwood Pact
Specialist
Conservative
Created Mar 25, 2026
Performance
Record (W-L-P)
32-41-1
Win Rate
43.8%
ROI
-7.4%
Units
-5.48
Avg CLV
-0.14%
CLV Rate
51.4%
Predictions History (74)
| Date | League | Period | Game | Prediction | Odds | Book | CLV | Time ET | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | NBA | Full Game | WAS @ CHA |  Wizards ML |
+134 | Pinnacle | -0.7% | 17:01:30 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Oct 26 | NBA | Full Game | DAL @ MIA |  Mavericks +8 |
-115 | Circa | +0.5% | 17:00:38 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 25 | NBA | Full Game | IND @ BKN |  Nets ML |
+208 | Pinnacle | +0.5% | 16:00:15 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Oct 25 | NBA | Full Game | TOR @ MIN |  Raptors ML |
+145 | BetOnline | -0.6% | 18:59:48 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Oct 24 | NBA | Full Game | GSW @ PHX |  Warriors ML |
+340 | Circa | -1.8% | 21:01:41 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Oct 24 | NBA | Full Game | GSW @ PHX | Warriors +10 |
-108 | Pinnacle | +1.4% | 19:58:07 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 23 | NBA | Full Game | DET @ MIA |  Heat +2 |
-110 | Pinnacle | +1.6% | 18:00:08 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Oct 23 | NBA | Full Game | CHI @ MIL |  Bulls +1.5 |
-106 | Pinnacle | +0.9% | 14:00:49 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 21 | NBA | Full Game | ATL @ ORL |  Hawks +2.5 |
-111 | Bookmaker | +0.9% | 16:59:57 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 21 | NBA | Full Game | IND @ NOP |  Pelicans +3.5 |
-110 | Circa | +1.8% | 17:58:04 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Jun 13 | NBA | Full Game | NYK @ SAS |  Knicks ML |
+180 | Circa | -0.6% | 18:01:04 | W (+1.80 Units) |
| Jun 10 | NBA | Full Game | SAS @ NYK |  Spurs +2.5 |
-115 | DraftKings | -0.4% | 17:59:06 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Jun 08 | NBA | Full Game | SAS @ NYK | Spurs ML |
+115 | Circa | +0.4% | 17:59:43 | W (+1.15 Units) |
| May 30 | NBA | Full Game | SAS @ OKC | Spurs ML |
+135 | Pinnacle | -0.2% | 17:57:10 | W (+1.35 Units) |
| May 24 | NBA | Full Game | OKC @ SAS | Spurs -2.5 |
-115 | Circa | +0.3% | 17:59:57 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 22 | NBA | Full Game | OKC @ SAS | Spurs -1.5 |
-108 | Pinnacle | +4.2% | 18:00:11 | L (-1.08 Units) |
| May 21 | NBA | Full Game | CLE @ NYK |  Cavaliers ML |
+175 | Pinnacle | -1.4% | 19:59:42 | L (-1 Unit) |
| May 17 | NBA | Full Game | CLE @ DET | Cavaliers ML |
+170 | Circa | -0.2% | 17:59:08 | W (+1.70 Units) |
| May 15 | NBA | Full Game | SAS @ MIN |  Timberwolves ML |
+197 | Pinnacle | -1.6% | 18:57:36 | L (-1 Unit) |
| May 15 | NBA | Full Game | DET @ CLE |  Pistons +4.5 |
-110 | Pinnacle | +0.9% | 17:01:12 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 13 | NBA | Full Game | CLE @ DET | Cavaliers +4.5 |
-112 | DraftKings | +1.2% | 17:59:36 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 11 | NBA | Full Game | DET @ CLE | Pistons +3.5 |
-105 | DraftKings | +0.7% | 17:58:08 | L (-1.05 Units) |
| May 10 | NBA | Full Game | NYK @ PHI |  76ers ML |
+107 | Pinnacle | -1.8% | 13:02:01 | L (-1 Unit) |
| May 09 | NBA | Full Game | DET @ CLE | Pistons +5.5 |
-118 | DraftKings | -0.1% | 13:58:44 | L (-1.18 Units) |
| May 08 | NBA | Full Game | NYK @ PHI | 76ers -2 |
-115 | Bookmaker | +3.5% | 17:00:02 | L (-1.15 Units) |
| May 07 | NBA | Full Game | CLE @ DET | Cavaliers +3.5 |
-102 | Pinnacle | +1.4% | 16:59:22 | L (-1.02 Units) |
| May 05 | NBA | Full Game | CLE @ DET | Cavaliers ML |
+143 | Pinnacle | -0.8% | 18:58:32 | L (-1 Unit) |
| May 05 | NBA | Full Game | CLE @ DET | Cavaliers +4 |
-110 | Pinnacle | +1.6% | 17:01:18 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| May 01 | NBA | Full Game | LAL @ HOU |  Lakers +4 |
-111 | Pinnacle | -1.8% | 20:00:47 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 01 | NBA | Full Game | CLE @ TOR | Raptors +5 |
-108 | Pinnacle | +0.9% | 17:00:34 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 30 | NBA | Full Game | DEN @ MIN | Timberwolves +6.5 |
-106 | FanDuel | -0.9% | 20:00:34 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 30 | NBA | Full Game | NYK @ ATL | Hawks +3.5 |
-115 | DraftKings | -0.2% | 17:00:22 | L (-1.15 Units) |
| Apr 29 | NBA | Full Game | ORL @ DET |  Magic ML |
+330 | FanDuel | -3.8% | 17:00:44 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 29 | NBA | Full Game | HOU @ LAL |  Rockets +4 |
-110 | Circa | +1.6% | 19:59:43 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 26 | NBA | Full Game | CLE @ TOR | Raptors ML |
+156 | Pinnacle | -1.5% | 10:57:53 | W (+1.56 Units) |
| Apr 24 | NBA | Full Game | LAL @ HOU | Lakers +6 |
-110 | Pinnacle | -4.6% | 18:58:24 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 22 | NBA | Full Game | ORL @ DET | Magic ML |
+312 | Pinnacle | -2.1% | 17:00:31 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 18 | NBA | Full Game | ATL @ NYK | Hawks ML |
+215 | Circa | -1.5% | 15:58:23 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 17 | NBA | Full Game | GSW @ PHX | Warriors ML |
+128 | Pinnacle | -1.6% | 21:59:00 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 17 | NBA | Full Game | CHA @ ORL |  Hornets -3 |
-106 | Pinnacle | -0.7% | 16:57:54 | L (-1.06 Units) |
| Apr 15 | NBA | Full Game | ORL @ PHI | 76ers -1.5 |
-104 | Pinnacle | +1.4% | 16:59:58 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 14 | NBA | Full Game | MIA @ CHA | Heat ML |
+215 | Circa | -1.2% | 17:00:57 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 14 | NBA | Full Game | POR @ PHX |  Trail Blazers +3.5 |
-113 | Bookmaker | +0.9% | 19:58:43 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 12 | NBA | Full Game | ATL @ MIA | Hawks +9.5 |
-106 | Pinnacle | -2.4% | 16:00:27 | L (-1.06 Units) |
| Apr 12 | NBA | Full Game | ORL @ BOS |  Celtics +13 |
-106 | Pinnacle | +1.4% | 16:02:01 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 10 | NBA | Full Game | OKC @ DEN |  Nuggets -2.5 |
-111 | Pinnacle | -0.2% | 20:01:25 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 10 | NBA | Full Game | CLE @ ATL | Cavaliers ML |
+280 | Pinnacle | -2.6% | 17:01:25 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 09 | NBA | Full Game | MIA @ TOR | Heat +4 |
-108 | Pinnacle | +0.5% | 17:00:49 | L (-1.08 Units) |
| Apr 09 | NBA | Full Game | IND @ BKN | Nets ML |
+145 | Circa | +0.1% | 16:59:44 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 08 | NBA | Full Game | POR @ SAS | Trail Blazers +3.5 |
-108 | Pinnacle | +2.1% | 18:59:35 | L (-1.08 Units) |
| Apr 08 | NBA | Full Game | ATL @ CLE | Hawks +3.5 |
-115 | DraftKings | -2.8% | 16:59:42 | L (-1.15 Units) |
| Apr 07 | NBA | Full Game | MIN @ IND |  Pacers +12.5 |
-103 | Pinnacle | +1.2% | 16:59:15 | L (-1.03 Units) |
| Apr 07 | NBA | Full Game | MIL @ BKN | Nets +2.5 |
-111 | Pinnacle | +3.1% | 16:59:33 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 06 | NBA | Full Game | NYK @ ATL | Knicks +1.5 |
-104 | Pinnacle | +1.4% | 16:58:45 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 05 | NBA | Full Game | PHX @ CHI | Bulls +10.5 |
-118 | DraftKings | -5.1% | 13:01:27 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 05 | NBA | Full Game | WAS @ BKN | Wizards +3.5 |
-108 | Pinnacle | +0.7% | 12:57:35 | L (-1.08 Units) |
| Apr 04 | NBA | Full Game | SAS @ DEN | Spurs -1.5 |
-109 | Pinnacle | +0.4% | 13:00:06 | L (-1.09 Units) |
| Apr 04 | NBA | Full Game | DET @ PHI | 76ers ML |
+130 | Circa | -4.8% | 16:57:36 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 03 | NBA | Full Game | MIN @ PHI | 76ers -4.5 |
-102 | Pinnacle | -1.4% | 17:00:15 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 03 | NBA | Full Game | IND @ CHA | Pacers ML |
+975 | Circa | -1.7% | 16:58:10 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 02 | NBA | Full Game | MIN @ DET | Timberwolves ML |
+144 | FanDuel | -7.0% | 17:00:44 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Apr 02 | NBA | Full Game | MIN @ DET | Timberwolves +5 |
-101 | Pinnacle | +0.5% | 18:00:25 | P (+0 Units) |
| Apr 01 | NBA | Full Game | ATL @ ORL | Magic +3.5 |
-116 | FanDuel | +1.3% | 16:58:45 | L (-1.16 Units) |
| Mar 31 | NBA | Full Game | TOR @ DET | Raptors ML |
+138 | FanDuel | -0.8% | 18:00:03 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Mar 31 | NBA | Full Game | PHX @ ORL |  Suns +2 |
-107 | Pinnacle | +0.7% | 16:57:24 | L (-1.07 Units) |
| Mar 30 | NBA | Full Game | PHI @ MIA | 76ers -2 |
-107 | Pinnacle | +1.9% | 16:57:53 | L (-1.07 Units) |
| Mar 30 | NBA | Full Game | MIN @ DAL | Mavericks +8 |
-108 | Pinnacle | -1.2% | 17:58:24 | L (-1.08 Units) |
| Mar 29 | NBA | Full Game | BOS @ CHA | Hornets ML |
-114 | Pinnacle | +2.3% | 15:58:51 | L (-1.14 Units) |
| Mar 28 | NBA | Full Game | CHI @ MEM |  Grizzlies +4.5 |
-103 | Pinnacle | -0.0% | 18:00:30 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 27 | NBA | Full Game | DAL @ POR | Mavericks ML |
+394 | Pinnacle | -2.1% | 19:58:08 | W (+3.94 Units) |
| Mar 27 | NBA | Full Game | LAC @ IND | Pacers +9.5 |
-105 | Circa | +1.2% | 16:57:21 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 26 | NBA | Full Game | NYK @ CHA | Hornets -1.5 |
-110 | Circa | +1.9% | 17:00:46 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 25 | NBA | Full Game | OKC @ BOS | Celtics +2.5 |
-112 | DraftKings | +1.2% | 16:59:39 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Mar 25 | NBA | Full Game | LAL @ IND | Pacers ML |
+385 | FanDuel | +0.1% | 17:02:03 | L (-1 Unit) |
Showing – of
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Strategy
Prediction Source
Consensus
Edge Threshold
13.5%
Consensus Type
Average Probability
Prediction Models
Elo Sharp
Fine-tuned Elo optimized for closing-line accuracy and sharp-money alignment.
Glicko Sharp
Precision-tuned Glicko-2 calibrated to closing lines for edge detection.
Matchup Sharp
Optimized Bradley-Terry tuned to sharp closing lines for precise win probabilities.