Modeled Syndicate
Specialist
Conservative
Created Apr 4, 2026
Performance
Record (W-L-P)
33-26-1
Win Rate
55.9%
ROI
+7.1%
Units
+4.26
Avg CLV
+3.25%
CLV Rate
75.9%
Predictions History (60)
| Date | League | Period | Game | Prediction | Odds | Book | CLV | Time ET | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | NBA | 1st Half | WAS @ CHA |  Hornets Under 117.5 |
-110 | Bookmaker | +4.6% | 16:57:30 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 26 | NBA | 1st Half | ATL @ HOU |  Rockets Under 118 |
-111 | Pinnacle | +1.9% | 17:57:23 | L (-1.11 Units) |
| Oct 25 | NBA | 1st Half | LAC @ OKC |  Thunder Over 107.5 |
-120 | FanDuel | +2.7% | 17:00:52 | L (-1.20 Units) |
| Oct 25 | NBA | 1st Half | DET @ PHI |  76ers Under 117 |
-105 | Pinnacle | +0.2% | 16:57:37 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 24 | NBA | 1st Half | MIL @ PHI | 76ers Under 119.5 |
-112 | DraftKings | +16.5% | 17:01:46 | L (-1.12 Units) |
| Oct 24 | NBA | 1st Half | MIA @ CHA | Hornets Under 119.5 |
-118 | DraftKings | +9.3% | 16:01:00 | L (-1.18 Units) |
| Oct 23 | NBA | 1st Half | ATL @ CHA | Hornets Under 116.5 |
-105 | BetOnline | +1.2% | 17:00:38 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 23 | NBA | 1st Half | CHI @ MIL |  Bucks Under 116.5 |
-112 | Bookmaker | +0.7% | 14:00:41 | L (-1.12 Units) |
| Oct 21 | NBA | 1st Half | MIL @ WAS |  Wizards Under 120.5 |
-115 | DraftKings | +16.0% | 16:59:53 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 21 | NBA | 1st Half | CHI @ TOR |  Raptors Under 118.5 |
-110 | BetOnline | +9.6% | 16:58:33 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 20 | NBA | 1st Half | PHI @ NYK |  Knicks Under 119 |
-117 | Bookmaker | +0.3% | 16:58:53 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 30 | NBA | 1st Half | SAS @ OKC | Thunder Over 107.5 |
-108 | Pinnacle | +3.7% | 17:58:48 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 28 | NBA | 1st Half | OKC @ SAS |  Spurs Over 106.5 |
-105 | Circa | +1.6% | 18:01:14 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 24 | NBA | 1st Half | OKC @ SAS | Spurs Over 106.5 |
-115 | Circa | +0.0% | 18:00:52 | L (-1.15 Units) |
| May 22 | NBA | 1st Half | OKC @ SAS | Spurs Over 106.5 |
-111 | Pinnacle | +3.5% | 17:59:28 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 21 | NBA | 1st Half | CLE @ NYK | Knicks Over 103.5 |
-115 | FanDuel | +4.5% | 17:59:57 | L (-1.15 Units) |
| May 19 | NBA | 1st Half | CLE @ NYK | Knicks Over 105.5 |
-112 | DraftKings | +3.3% | 18:01:37 | L (-1.12 Units) |
| May 15 | NBA | 1st Half | DET @ CLE |  Cavaliers Over 107.5 |
-110 | Bookmaker | -14.1% | 16:59:05 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| May 13 | NBA | 1st Half | CLE @ DET |  Pistons Over 103 |
-104 | Pinnacle | -0.0% | 18:00:26 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 12 | NBA | 1st Half | MIN @ SAS | Spurs Over 106 |
-105 | Pinnacle | +1.4% | 17:57:47 | P (+0 Units) |
| May 11 | NBA | 1st Half | OKC @ LAL |  Lakers Over 104.5 |
-109 | Pinnacle | +0.2% | 19:58:43 | L (-1.09 Units) |
| May 09 | NBA | 1st Half | OKC @ LAL | Lakers Over 103 |
-110 | Pinnacle | +2.3% | 18:01:24 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 07 | NBA | 1st Half | CLE @ DET | Pistons Over 105 |
-111 | Bookmaker | +1.4% | 17:00:34 | L (-1.11 Units) |
| May 06 | NBA | 1st Half | MIN @ SAS | Spurs Over 105 |
-110 | Bookmaker | +1.9% | 18:59:22 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| May 05 | NBA | 1st Half | CLE @ DET | Pistons Over 104.5 |
-106 | Pinnacle | +3.7% | 17:00:19 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 04 | NBA | 1st Half | MIN @ SAS | Spurs Over 105 |
-109 | Bookmaker | +4.6% | 18:59:18 | L (-1.09 Units) |
| May 03 | NBA | 1st Half | ORL @ DET | Pistons Over 103.5 |
-115 | DraftKings | -0.4% | 13:00:08 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 03 | NBA | 1st Half | TOR @ CLE | Cavaliers Over 103 |
-115 | Bookmaker | -3.0% | 16:59:11 | L (-1.15 Units) |
| May 02 | NBA | 1st Half | PHI @ BOS |  Celtics Over 105.5 |
-107 | Pinnacle | -1.2% | 16:58:54 | L (-1.07 Units) |
| May 01 | NBA | 1st Half | CLE @ TOR | Raptors Over 107.5 |
-108 | Pinnacle | +0.5% | 16:59:25 | W (+1 Unit) |
| May 01 | NBA | 1st Half | LAL @ HOU | Rockets Over 105 |
-108 | Pinnacle | -1.4% | 19:00:37 | L (-1.08 Units) |
| Apr 29 | NBA | 1st Half | ORL @ DET | Pistons Over 107.5 |
-105 | Pinnacle | +1.2% | 17:00:07 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 29 | NBA | 1st Half | TOR @ CLE | Cavaliers Over 106.5 |
-110 | Circa | +3.5% | 17:01:33 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 27 | NBA | 1st Half | OKC @ PHX |  Suns Over 105.5 |
-110 | FanDuel | +0.0% | 18:58:55 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 26 | NBA | 1st Half | LAL @ HOU | Rockets Over 105 |
-104 | Pinnacle | +3.3% | 19:00:51 | L (-1.04 Units) |
| Apr 26 | NBA | 1st Half | CLE @ TOR | Raptors Over 107.5 |
-105 | Bookmaker | -1.2% | 11:01:12 | L (-1.05 Units) |
| Apr 25 | NBA | 1st Half | OKC @ PHX | Suns Over 106.5 |
-109 | Pinnacle | -9.7% | 12:58:10 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 24 | NBA | 1st Half | LAL @ HOU | Rockets Over 106 |
-109 | Pinnacle | -0.5% | 18:00:02 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 23 | NBA | 1st Half | CLE @ TOR | Raptors Over 107.5 |
-105 | Pinnacle | +0.9% | 18:00:02 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 20 | NBA | 1st Half | TOR @ CLE | Cavaliers Over 108 |
-110 | Bookmaker | -1.9% | 16:58:55 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Apr 18 | NBA | 1st Half | TOR @ CLE | Cavaliers Over 106.5 |
-108 | Pinnacle | +4.2% | 11:01:45 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 17 | NBA | 1st Half | CHA @ ORL |  Magic Over 106 |
-110 | Circa | +2.1% | 16:58:54 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Apr 17 | NBA | 1st Half | GSW @ PHX | Suns Over 106.5 |
-105 | Pinnacle | — | 19:57:43 | L (-1.05 Units) |
| Apr 15 | NBA | 1st Half | GSW @ LAC |  Clippers Over 107 |
-108 | Pinnacle | — | 20:00:48 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 14 | NBA | 1st Half | MIA @ CHA | Hornets Under 117.5 |
-105 | Circa | +1.2% | 17:00:33 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 12 | NBA | 1st Half | WAS @ CLE | Cavaliers Under 121.5 |
-114 | FanDuel | +2.2% | 15:57:58 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 12 | NBA | 1st Half | CHA @ NYK | Knicks Over 105.5 |
-105 | Pinnacle | +1.2% | 16:01:37 | L (-1.05 Units) |
| Apr 10 | NBA | 1st Half | TOR @ NYK | Knicks Over 107 |
-110 | Bookmaker | -1.1% | 17:00:18 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Apr 10 | NBA | 1st Half | PHI @ IND |  Pacers Under 120.5 |
-106 | Pinnacle | +0.9% | 17:01:10 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 09 | NBA | 1st Half | MIA @ TOR | Raptors Under 122.5 |
-104 | Pinnacle | +3.6% | 17:00:46 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 09 | NBA | 1st Half | CHI @ WAS | Wizards Under 121 |
-110 | Pinnacle | -1.3% | 17:01:56 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 08 | NBA | 1st Half | DAL @ PHX | Suns Under 119.5 |
-105 | Bookmaker | +1.6% | 20:01:17 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 08 | NBA | 1st Half | ATL @ CLE | Cavaliers Under 122 |
-111 | Pinnacle | +0.9% | 16:58:30 | L (-1.11 Units) |
| Apr 07 | NBA | 1st Half | DAL @ LAC | Clippers Under 122.5 |
-107 | Pinnacle | +1.6% | 19:58:54 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 07 | NBA | 1st Half | CHI @ WAS | Wizards Under 122.5 |
-119 | Bookmaker | +2.3% | 16:59:52 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 06 | NBA | 1st Half | NYK @ ATL |  Hawks Under 117 |
-105 | Circa | +2.7% | 16:58:21 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 06 | NBA | 1st Half | PHI @ SAS | Spurs Under 121.5 |
-104 | Pinnacle | +1.4% | 17:58:14 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 05 | NBA | 1st Half | TOR @ BOS | Celtics Over 106.5 |
-110 | FanDuel | +2.0% | 12:57:24 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Apr 05 | NBA | 1st Half | WAS @ BKN |  Nets Under 118.5 |
-103 | Pinnacle | +1.6% | 12:57:45 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Apr 04 | NBA | 1st Half | DET @ PHI | 76ers Under 116.5 |
-110 | Bookmaker | +0.9% | 17:58:29 | L (-1.10 Units) |
Showing – of
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Strategy
Prediction Source
Consensus
Edge Threshold
13.5%
Consensus Type
Average Probability
Prediction Models
Ridge Sharp
Ridge model tuned for closing-line accuracy on spreads and totals.
Poisson Sharp
Poisson model calibrated to sharp lines for precise over/under and side predictions.