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DraftKings

Per-market closing-line efficiency for DraftKings.

Window: 30 Days 90 Days Season All Time As of 2026-10-27

NBA

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	52	0.2037	0.1980	0.5922	0.5772	0.706	best
Spread	52	0.2514	0.2492	0.6959	0.6915	0.610	+0.0031 (FanDuel)
Total	52	0.2494	0.2502	0.6919	0.6935	0.541	+0.0016 (FanDuel)
Assists	518	0.2394	0.2398	0.6713	0.6725	0.604	best
Points	729	0.2510	0.2477	0.6956	0.6885	0.542	best
Rebounds	675	0.2438	0.2464	0.6807	0.6860	0.556	+0.0024 (BetOnline)
3-Pointers Made	583	0.2445	0.2447	0.6822	0.6826	0.578	+0.0036 (FanDuel)

NHL

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	187	0.2326	0.2308	0.6572	0.6534	0.608	+0.0015 (Circa)
Spread	187	0.2278	0.2306	0.6480	0.6539	0.626	+0.0042 (Pinnacle)
Total	187	0.2483	0.2506	0.6898	0.6944	0.536	+0.0037 (BetOnline)

MLB

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	52	0.2353	0.2327	0.6628	0.6578	0.654	best
Spread	52	0.2510	0.2551	0.6959	0.7038	0.538	+0.0187 (Circa)
Total	48	—	0.2534	—	0.6999	0.383	+0.0058 (FanDuel)
Batter Hits	944	0.2355	0.2391	0.6632	0.6708	0.585	+0.0004 (BetOnline)
Batter Total Bases	560	0.2536	0.2555	0.7019	0.7061	0.571	+0.0135 (BetOnline)
Pitcher Earned Runs	85	0.2426	0.2402	0.6782	0.6733	0.571	+0.0010 (BetOnline)
Pitcher Hits Allowed	85	0.2541	0.2547	0.7015	0.7026	0.471	best
Pitcher Strikeouts	100	0.2435	0.2507	0.6801	0.6947	0.510	+0.0049 (BetOnline)

WNBA

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	21	—	0.2399	—	0.6718	0.619	+0.0076 (Bookmaker)
Spread	21	—	0.2520	—	0.6971	0.429	+0.0043 (Bookmaker)
Total	21	—	0.2482	—	0.6895	0.750	best

NFL

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	73	0.2388	0.2355	0.6689	0.6663	0.575	+0.0026 (Bookmaker)
Spread	69	0.2513	0.2504	0.6957	0.6939	0.483	+0.0031 (FanDuel)
Total	74	0.2498	0.2492	0.6927	0.6916	0.536	+0.0018 (Pinnacle)
Passing Attempts	146	0.2501	0.2521	0.6933	0.6973	0.445	+0.0016 (FanDuel)
Passing Completions	146	0.2497	0.2483	0.6925	0.6897	0.517	best
Passing Interceptions	146	0.2484	0.2483	0.6898	0.6898	0.510	+0.0061 (FanDuel)
Passing Touchdowns	146	0.2353	0.2337	0.6632	0.6599	0.628	+0.0006 (BetOnline)
Passing Yards	146	0.2501	0.2501	0.6934	0.6934	0.457	+0.0001 (FanDuel)
Longest Reception	714	0.2502	0.2503	0.6935	0.6937	0.506	+0.0009 (FanDuel)
Receiving Yards	833	0.2500	0.2499	0.6932	0.6929	0.493	best
Rushing Yards	401	0.2499	0.2503	0.6930	0.6937	0.472	best