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Circa

Per-market closing-line efficiency for Circa.

Window: 30 Days 90 Days Season All Time As of 2026-10-27

NBA

Market # Markets Brier Open Brier Close Log-Loss Open Log-Loss Close Hit Rate VS Best
Moneyline 52 0.2049 0.1989 0.5937 0.5791 0.712 +0.0009 (DraftKings)
Spread 51 0.2500 0.2500 0.6931 0.6932 0.500 +0.0040 (FanDuel)
Total 51 0.2500 0.2500 0.6931 0.6931 +0.0014 (FanDuel)

NHL

Market # Markets Brier Open Brier Close Log-Loss Open Log-Loss Close Hit Rate VS Best
Moneyline 185 0.2322 0.2293 0.6562 0.6503 0.624 best
Spread 185 0.2266 0.2309 0.6454 0.6545 0.621 +0.0046 (Pinnacle)
Total 179 0.2480 0.2491 0.6892 0.6913 0.548 +0.0022 (BetOnline)

MLB

Market # Markets Brier Open Brier Close Log-Loss Open Log-Loss Close Hit Rate VS Best
Moneyline 52 0.2329 0.2328 0.6581 0.6582 0.660 +0.0001 (DraftKings)
Spread 52 0.2421 0.2364 0.6772 0.6650 0.600 best
Total 49 — 0.2502 — 0.6936 0.514 +0.0026 (FanDuel)

NFL

Market # Markets Brier Open Brier Close Log-Loss Open Log-Loss Close Hit Rate VS Best
Moneyline 73 0.2389 0.2356 0.6733 0.6673 0.575 +0.0027 (Bookmaker)
Spread 71 0.2511 0.2491 0.6953 0.6914 0.588 +0.0019 (FanDuel)
Total 73 0.2500 0.2499 0.6931 0.6929 1.000 +0.0025 (Pinnacle)