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Circa

Per-market closing-line efficiency for Circa.

Window: 30 Days 90 Days Season All Time As of 2026-10-27

NBA

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	725	0.1904	0.1873	0.5617	0.5544	0.708	+0.0014 (Pinnacle)
Spread	740	0.2500	0.2501	0.6931	0.6934	0.492	+0.0005 (FanDuel)
Total	735	0.2500	0.2500	0.6931	0.6931		+0.0004 (Pinnacle)

NHL

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	814	0.2382	0.2375	0.6691	0.6676	0.586	+0.0017 (FanDuel)
Spread	814	0.2220	0.2235	0.6358	0.6390	0.654	+0.0022 (Pinnacle)
Total	774	0.2482	0.2467	0.6896	0.6866	0.583	+0.0000 (BetOnline)

MLB

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	2388	0.2441	0.2433	0.6810	0.6794	0.565	+0.0011 (Bookmaker)
Spread	2389	0.2401	0.2396	0.6731	0.6720	0.592	best
Total	2292	0.2500	0.2500	0.6932	0.6931	0.508	+0.0007 (FanDuel)

NFL

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	106	0.2389	0.2340	0.6746	0.6642	0.613	+0.0021 (Bookmaker)
Spread	102	0.2502	0.2495	0.6936	0.6922	0.568	+0.0014 (FanDuel)
Total	105	0.2500	0.2500	0.6931	0.6932	0.500	+0.0024 (FanDuel)